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Wellington Phoenix
Australian A-League | Gameweek 14
Jan 28, 2023 at 2am UK
Westpac Stadium
Perth Glory

Wellington
2 - 2
Perth Glory

Zawada (11'), Barbarouses (20')
Zawada (16')
Payne (56')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Williams (22', 80')
Duncan (35'), Burke-Gilroy (64'), Dowse (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Perth Glory, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wellington 2-1 Central Coast
Sunday, January 22 at 2am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Perth Glory 3-1 Victory
Saturday, January 21 at 11.30am in Australian A-League

We said: Wellington Phoenix 2-1 Perth Glory

Perth Glory head into this match with a lot of confidence due to their recent results and that should lead to them providing a real test on Saturday. Unfortunately, their dismal away form is something that instantly makes Wellington Phoenix the favourites to take all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 50.93%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 24.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 0-1 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Wellington PhoenixDrawPerth Glory
50.93% (0.28299999999999 0.28) 24.16% (-0.177 -0.18) 24.91% (-0.105 -0.11)
Both teams to score 54.37% (0.461 0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.69% (0.66399999999999 0.66)47.31% (-0.66200000000001 -0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.47% (0.613 0.61)69.53% (-0.611 -0.61)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.41% (0.366 0.37)18.59% (-0.364 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.13% (0.613 0.61)49.87% (-0.612 -0.61)
Perth Glory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.79% (0.268 0.27)33.21% (-0.267 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.18% (0.293 0.29)69.82% (-0.292 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    Wellington Phoenix 50.92%
    Perth Glory 24.91%
    Draw 24.16%
Wellington PhoenixDrawPerth Glory
1-0 @ 10.38% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-1 @ 9.63% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.74% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.4% (0.079 0.08)
3-0 @ 4.9% (0.036 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.98% (0.065 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.27% (0.06 0.06)
4-0 @ 2.06% (0.039 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.25% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 50.92%
1-1 @ 11.45% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 6.17% (-0.172 -0.17)
2-2 @ 5.31% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.16%
0-1 @ 6.81% (-0.139 -0.14)
1-2 @ 6.31% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.75% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.32% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.95% (0.035 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.38% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 24.91%

How you voted: Wellington vs Perth Glory

Wellington Phoenix
Draw
Perth Glory
Wellington Phoenix
68.4%
Draw
21.1%
Perth Glory
10.5%
19
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2022 11.30am
Apr 13, 2022 10.05am
Perth Glory
0-1
Wellington

Clisby (56')
Sandoval (48')
Pennington (58')
Mar 26, 2022 6.05am
Wellington
2-1
Perth Glory
Waine (37'), Pennington (90+7')
Fenton (89')
Fitzgerald (49')
Malik (47'), Timmins (64')
Malik (53')
May 30, 2021 4.35am
Wellington
2-2
Perth Glory
Hemed (25'), Sotirio (80')
Fenton (78'), Devlin (90+5')
Fornaroli (61'), Timmins (74')
Lachman (52'), Timmins (65'), Aspropotamitis (82'), Fornaroli (89'), Castro (90+1')
Apr 18, 2021 11.15am
Perth Glory
1-3
Wellington
Chianese (58')
Kato Geria (77')
Waine (56'), Fenton (66'), Sotirio (75')
Taylor (57'), Lewis (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Auckland FC20126239201942
2Western UnitedWestern Utd21115546301638
3Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney20104647341334
4Melbourne CityMelbourne City2010462718934
5Melbourne VictoryVictory219663327633
6Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United209654340333
7Sydney FCSydney FC2086642311130
8Macarthur218493834428
9Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets207493034-425
10Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast2141072339-1622
11Wellington PhoenixWellington2055101931-1220
12Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar1925122338-1511
13Perth GloryPerth Glory2125141448-3411


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