Australian A-League | Gameweek 13

Jan 22, 2023 at 2am UK

Westpac Stadium

Wellington
2 - 1
Central Coast

Rufer (32'), Zawada (40')
Rufer (45'), Talay (82'), Elliot (90+5'), Zawada (90+8'), Sail (90+9')

FT(HT: 2-0)

N'Kololo (90+2')
Roux (13'), N'Kololo (25'), Triantis (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Central Coast Mariners, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions

Last Game: Brisbane Roar 0-1 Wellington
Saturday, January 14 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions

Last Game: Macarthur 1-2 Central Coast
Friday, January 13 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Wellington Phoenix 1-3 Central Coast Mariners

Wellington Phoenix have shown their defensive qualities as of late, but they come up against the strongest attacking team in the division this weekend which could be difficult. The visitors should have enough attacking quality to cause some real problems here and will likely take the win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 35.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.56%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wellington Phoenix in this match.

Result
Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Central Coast Mariners
40.1% ( -1.06)	24.13% ( -0.12)	35.77% ( 1.18)

Both teams to score 60.81% (

0.68)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.34% (

0.78)

41.66% (

-0.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.94% (

0.79)

64.06% (

-0.78)

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.08% (

-0.16)

20.92% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.35% (

-0.25)

53.65% (

0.25)

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.9% (

1.01)

23.1% (

-1.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.05% (

1.46)

56.95% (

-1.46)

Score Analysis

Wellington Phoenix 40.1%

Central Coast Mariners 35.77%

Draw 24.13%

Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Central Coast Mariners
2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 7.56% ( -0.31) 2-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.27) 3-1 @ 4.52% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.78% Total : 40.1%	1-1 @ 11.08% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 4.83% ( -0.17) 3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.13%	1-2 @ 8.12% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 7.08% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 3.96% ( 0.19) 2-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.13) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.11) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.26% Total : 35.77%