Australian A-League | Gameweek 12

Jan 14, 2023 at 6am UK

Suncorp Stadium

Brisbane Roar
0 - 1
Wellington

Neville (15')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Zawada (65')
Sasse (31'), Mauragis (90+1'), Ball (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Brisbane Roar and Wellington Phoenix, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brisbane Roar

All competitions

Last Game: Perth Glory 2-1 Brisbane Roar
Tuesday, January 10 at 11.30am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions

Last Game: Sydney FC 0-1 Wellington
Saturday, January 7 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

We said: Brisbane Roar 1-1 Wellington Phoenix

Brisbane Roar have been the draw specialists of the A-League so far this season, and that is something that could continue on Saturday. The visitors will provide a stern test, but considering the Lions have been defensively sound throughout this campaign, a low-scoring draw could be how this one goes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 43.44%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Brisbane Roar	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
43.44% ( -0.04)	25.55% ( -0)	31.01% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 54.37% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.6% (

0.03)

49.39% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.56% (

0.03)

71.44% (

-0.03)

Brisbane Roar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.34% (

-0.01)

22.66% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.7% (

-0.02)

56.3% (

0.01)

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.3% (

0.05)

29.7% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.25% (

0.06)

65.75% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Brisbane Roar 43.44%

Wellington Phoenix 31.01%

Draw 25.54%

Brisbane Roar	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
1-0 @ 9.99% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.42% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.46% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.67% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 2.18% Total : 43.44%	1-1 @ 12.12% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.54%	0-1 @ 8.17% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.36% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 31.01%