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Adelaide United
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Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Perth Glory
Australian A-League | Gameweek 13
Jan 21, 2023 at 11.30am UK
nib Stadium
Melbourne Victory

Perth Glory
3 - 1
Victory

Williams (37'), Taggart (80', 87')
Lachman (34'), Jelacic (45+1'), Cook (87')
Clisby (51')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Brillante (69')
Smith (45+3'), Smith (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Perth Glory and Melbourne Victory, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Perth Glory 2-2 Sydney FC
Saturday, January 14 at 11.30am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Adelaide United 1-1 Victory
Saturday, January 14 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

We said: Perth Glory 2-1 Melbourne Victory

Melbourne Victory will be desperate to pick up a win here as a positive result would take them off the bottom of the table. However, it is the hosts that should have enough quality to get through this one with a victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 47.67%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-0 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Perth Glory would win this match.

Result
Perth GloryDrawMelbourne Victory
27.2% (-0.064 -0.06) 25.13% (-0.087 -0.09) 47.67% (0.143 0.14)
Both teams to score 53.35% (0.22 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.37% (0.31 0.31)49.63% (-0.319 -0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.35% (0.277 0.28)71.65% (-0.285 -0.28)
Perth Glory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.4% (0.116 0.12)32.59% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.86% (0.129 0.13)69.13% (-0.137 -0.14)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.15% (0.18600000000001 0.19)20.84% (-0.193 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.47% (0.29600000000001 0.3)53.53% (-0.305 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Perth Glory 27.2%
    Melbourne Victory 47.66%
    Draw 25.13%
Perth GloryDrawMelbourne Victory
1-0 @ 7.62% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-1 @ 6.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 4.27% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.5% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.96% (0.017 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.6% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 27.2%
1-1 @ 11.94% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.79% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.25% (0.029 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.13%
0-1 @ 10.65% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-2 @ 9.36% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 8.35% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.9% (0.039 0.04)
0-3 @ 4.37% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.74% (0.031 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.92% (0.027 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.71% (0.018 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.08% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 47.66%

How you voted: Perth Glory vs Victory

Perth Glory
68.8%
Draw
25.0%
Melbourne Victory
6.3%
16
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2022 12.05pm
Perth Glory
0-1
Victory

Timmins (28'), Colli (70')
Margiotta (57')
Davidson (46'), Marchan (90')
Dec 5, 2021 7.45am
Victory
0-3
Perth Glory

Marchan (45+3')
Burke-Gilroy (66'), Bramwell (74'), Fornaroli (88')
Ota (15'), Fornaroli (45+6'), Niyongabire (78')
May 9, 2021 9.10am
Perth Glory
2-1
Victory
Fornaroli (52'), Ikonomidis (56')
Timmins (24'), Ota (34')
Gestede (79')
Kruse (75')
Ansell (48')
Jan 26, 2021 8.05am
Victory
2-1
Perth Glory
Brimmer (86', 90' pen.)
Shotton (45')
Fornaroli (63')
Armiento (32')
Aug 8, 2020 8am
Perth Glory
0-4
Victory

Fornaroli (51'), Elrich (59'), Lia (90')
Rojas (29', 69'), Nabbout (60' pen.), Kamsoba (90+2')
Rojas (26'), Kirdar (44')
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