Australian A-League | Gameweek 20

Mar 12, 2023 at 2am UK

Westpac Stadium

Wellington
1 - 0
Sydney FC

Zawada (21')
Sasse (41')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Grant (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Sydney FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions

Last Game: Wellington 2-1 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, March 4 at 2am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Sydney FC

All competitions

Last Game: Sydney FC 1-0 Victory
Saturday, March 4 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Wellington Phoenix 1-1 Sydney FC

There is very little to split these two teams right now in the A-League, and that is something that could be reflected with the result. Seeing them battle out to a draw would not be a surprise as both teams will likely be quite cautious in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 34.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.05%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Sydney FC
34.23% ( 1.28)	23.44% ( 0.29)	42.33% ( -1.57)

Both teams to score 63.05% (

-0.63)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.41% (

-1.01)

38.59% (

1.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.11% (

-1.07)

60.89% (

1.08)

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.49% (

0.23)

22.51% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.92% (

0.34)

56.08% (

-0.34)

Sydney FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.37% (

-1.06)

18.63% (

1.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.06% (

-1.81)

49.94% (

1.81)

Score Analysis

Wellington Phoenix 34.23%

Sydney FC 42.33%

Draw 23.43%

Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Sydney FC
2-1 @ 7.84% ( 0.22) 1-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.34) 2-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 3.9% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 3.27% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 1.45% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.32% Total : 34.23%	1-1 @ 10.5% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.2) 3-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.43%	1-2 @ 8.83% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 4.95% ( -0.24) 2-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.19) 1-4 @ 2.08% ( -0.18) 2-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.12) 0-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.56% Total : 42.33%