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Wellington Phoenix
Australian A-League | Gameweek 20
Mar 12, 2023 at 2am UK
Westpac Stadium
Sydney FC

Wellington
1 - 0
Sydney FC

Zawada (21')
Sasse (41')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Grant (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Sydney FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions
Last Game: Wellington 2-1 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, March 4 at 2am in Australian A-League

Sydney FC

All competitions
Last Game: Sydney FC 1-0 Victory
Saturday, March 4 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

We said: Wellington Phoenix 1-1 Sydney FC

 There is very little to split these two teams right now in the A-League, and that is something that could be reflected with the result. Seeing them battle out to a draw would not be a surprise as both teams will likely be quite cautious in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 34.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.05%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Wellington PhoenixDrawSydney FC
34.23% (1.284 1.28) 23.44% (0.291 0.29) 42.33% (-1.571 -1.57)
Both teams to score 63.05% (-0.63 -0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.41% (-1.008 -1.01)38.59% (1.012 1.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.11% (-1.074 -1.07)60.89% (1.077 1.08)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.49% (0.232 0.23)22.51% (-0.228 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.92% (0.342 0.34)56.08% (-0.338 -0.34)
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.37% (-1.056 -1.06)18.63% (1.061 1.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.06% (-1.808 -1.81)49.94% (1.812 1.81)
Score Analysis
    Wellington Phoenix 34.23%
    Sydney FC 42.33%
    Draw 23.43%
Wellington PhoenixDrawSydney FC
2-1 @ 7.84% (0.215 0.22)
1-0 @ 6.26% (0.336 0.34)
2-0 @ 4.66% (0.28 0.28)
3-1 @ 3.9% (0.133 0.13)
3-2 @ 3.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.32% (0.154 0.15)
4-1 @ 1.45% (0.059 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 34.23%
1-1 @ 10.5% (0.21 0.21)
2-2 @ 6.58% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.19% (0.198 0.2)
3-3 @ 1.83% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.43%
1-2 @ 8.83% (-0.118 -0.12)
0-1 @ 7.05% (0.1 0.1)
0-2 @ 5.92% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-3 @ 4.95% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-3 @ 3.69% (-0.153 -0.15)
0-3 @ 3.32% (-0.185 -0.19)
1-4 @ 2.08% (-0.177 -0.18)
2-4 @ 1.55% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-4 @ 1.39% (-0.129 -0.13)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 42.33%

How you voted: Wellington vs Sydney FC

Wellington Phoenix
55.6%
Draw
11.1%
Sydney FC
33.3%
9
Head to Head
Jan 7, 2023 6am
Sydney FC
0-1
Wellington

Retre (53'), Burgess (86')
Zawada (10')
Kraev (34'), Sail (88')
Kraev (71'), Pennington (86')
Feb 19, 2022 6.05am
Wellington
1-1
Sydney FC
Ball (43')
Sandoval (40'), Laws (45+1')
Bobo (67')
Kamsoba (45+1'), Amini (74'), Caceres (78')
Dec 19, 2021 7.45am
Sydney FC
2-1
Wellington
Kamsoba (19'), Le Fondre (57')
Retre (61')
Waine (83')
Feb 8, 2021 8.10am
Sydney FC
2-1
Wellington
Barbarouses (32', 64')
Brattan (27'), Nieuwenhof (34'), Barbarouses (41'), Grant (61')
Davila (90+3')
Rufer (29'), Ball (90+7')
Jan 2, 2021 6.05am
Wellington
1-2
Sydney FC
Muratovic (45+1')
Payne (44'), Laws (67')
Nieuwenhof (29'), Brattan (55')
Warland (5'), Nieuwenhof (25'), Caceres (36'), Buhagiar (61'), Brattan (66')
rhs 2.0
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