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Australian A-League | Gameweek 15
Feb 4, 2023 at 6am UK
Netstrata Jubilee Stadium
Central Coast Mariners

Sydney FC
3 - 2
Central Coast

le Fondre (10', 72'), Lolley (58')
Burgess (30')
Grant (19')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Cummings (20' pen., 33')
Hall (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Sydney FC and Central Coast Mariners, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sydney FC

All competitions
Last Game: Victory 1-2 Sydney FC
Thursday, January 26 at 7.45am in Australian A-League

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions
Last Game: Central Coast 2-2 Western Sydney
Saturday, January 28 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

We said: Sydney FC 1-1 Central Coast Mariners

 When looking at the league table Central Coast Mariners seem like the obvious favourites, but their recent form and mixed performances away from home could make this a tricky test for them. Sydney FC will look to take advantage of that, and with some momentum from last weekend they could end up earning a point here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 47.03%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.56%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.

Result
Sydney FCDrawCentral Coast Mariners
47.03% (0.227 0.23) 23.11% (0.123 0.12) 29.86% (-0.355 -0.36)
Both teams to score 62.19% (-0.685 -0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.14% (-0.804 -0.8)38.86% (0.799 0.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.82% (-0.852 -0.85)61.17% (0.845 0.84)
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.14% (-0.223 -0.22)16.86% (0.219 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.12% (-0.395 -0.4)46.87% (0.39 0.39)
Central Coast Mariners Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.8% (-0.62400000000001 -0.62)25.2% (0.619 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.06% (-0.868 -0.87)59.93% (0.862 0.86)
Score Analysis
    Sydney FC 47.03%
    Central Coast Mariners 29.86%
    Draw 23.1%
Sydney FCDrawCentral Coast Mariners
2-1 @ 9.28% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-0 @ 7.56% (0.228 0.23)
2-0 @ 6.73% (0.155 0.16)
3-1 @ 5.51% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4% (0.063 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.8% (-0.076 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.45% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.78% (0.015 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.69% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 4.24%
Total : 47.03%
1-1 @ 10.42% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 6.4% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 4.25% (0.158 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.74% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.1%
1-2 @ 7.19% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
0-1 @ 5.86% (0.117 0.12)
0-2 @ 4.04% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.3% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.94% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.85% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.14% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 29.86%

How you voted: Sydney FC vs Central Coast

Sydney FC
31.8%
Draw
27.3%
Central Coast Mariners
40.9%
22
Head to Head
Dec 17, 2022 6am
Central Coast
2-1
Sydney FC
Tulio (36'), Hall (39')
Farrell (43')
Retre (11')
Apr 9, 2022 10.45am
Central Coast
0-5
Sydney FC

Miller (56')
Le Fondre (28', 58', 59'), Caceres (53'), Bobo (90+4')
Buhagiar (49')
Jan 30, 2022 5.05am
Sydney FC
3-2
Central Coast
Caceres (45+2' pen., 79'), Bobo (71')
Amini (9'), Retre (65')
Bozanic (53'), Cummings (57')
Urena (15'), Cummings (29'), Farrell (45+2')
Dec 12, 2021 7.20am
Central Coast
2-0
Sydney FC
Urena (14'), Caceres (16' og.)
Roux (80')

Burgess (45'), Yazbek (68')
Apr 24, 2021 8.05am
Central Coast
2-2
Sydney FC
Urena (6'), Simon (41')
Ninkovic (45+2'), Buhagiar (83')
rhs 2.0
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