Australian A-League | Gameweek 14

Jan 28, 2023 at 8.45am UK

Central Coast Stadium

Central Coast
2 - 2
Western Sydney

Silvera (30'), Cummings (73')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Ngbakoto (35'), Borrello (60')
Cleur (45+2'), Traore (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Central Coast Mariners and Western Sydney Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions

Last Game: Wellington 2-1 Central Coast
Sunday, January 22 at 2am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Western Sydney Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Newcastle Jets 1-1 Western Sydney
Sunday, January 22 at 4am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Central Coast Mariners 2-1 Western Sydney Wanderers

After only registering one victory in their last five matches, we forecast Western Sydney Wanderers will have to wait another week to attempt to improve that record, with Central Coast Mariners coming out on top on Saturday morning. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 44.25%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 31.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Central Coast Mariners	Draw	Western Sydney Wanderers
44.25% ( 0.15)	24.21% ( -0.07)	31.54% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 59.2% (

0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.81% (

0.28)

43.19% (

-0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.41% (

0.27)

65.59% (

-0.27)

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.3% (

0.18)

19.7% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.3% (

0.29)

51.7% (

-0.28)

Western Sydney Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.72% (

0.09)

26.28% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.6% (

0.11)

61.4% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Central Coast Mariners 44.25%

Western Sydney Wanderers 31.54%

Draw 24.2%

Central Coast Mariners	Draw	Western Sydney Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.95% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.08% Total : 44.25%	1-1 @ 11.23% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.2%	1-2 @ 7.51% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.92% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.35% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 31.54%