Australian A-League | Gameweek 13

Jan 22, 2023 at 4am UK

McDonald Jones Stadium

Newcastle Jets
1 - 1
Western Sydney

Thurgate (37')
Jurman (45+1'), Dartsmelia (73')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bozanic (64' pen.)
Ngbakoto (18'), Bonetig (53'), Krpic (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Western Sydney Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle Jets

All competitions

Last Game: Western Utd 1-1 Newcastle Jets
Sunday, January 15 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Western Sydney Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Western Sydney 1-1 Melbourne City
Sunday, January 15 at 4am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Newcastle Jets 1-1 Western Sydney Wanderers

Newcastle Jets managed to show some improved signs against Western United in their last match, and so they should be good enough to labour to a point on home soil. Games involving Western Sydney Wanderers are normally low-scoring affairs, and we expect this one to be no different, with Rudan's side picking up their fifth 1-1 draw of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Newcastle Jets	Draw	Western Sydney Wanderers
35.06% ( 0.43)	24.9% ( -0.3)	40.04% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 57.9% (

1.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.61% (

1.45)

45.38% (

-1.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.28% (

1.37)

67.72% (

-1.37)

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.78% (

0.94)

25.22% (

-0.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.04% (

1.27)

59.96% (

-1.27)

Western Sydney Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.43% (

0.57)

22.57% (

-0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.83% (

0.84)

56.17% (

-0.84)

Score Analysis

Newcastle Jets 35.06%

Western Sydney Wanderers 40.04%

Draw 24.9%

Newcastle Jets	Draw	Western Sydney Wanderers
2-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.28) 2-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 2.48% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.64% Total : 35.06%	1-1 @ 11.67% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.36) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.9%	1-2 @ 8.69% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.47% ( -0.39) 0-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 4.31% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.13) 1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.29% Total : 40.04%