Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
35.06% ( 0.43) | 24.9% ( -0.3) | 40.04% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 57.9% ( 1.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.61% ( 1.45) | 45.38% ( -1.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.28% ( 1.37) | 67.72% ( -1.37) |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.78% ( 0.94) | 25.22% ( -0.94) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.04% ( 1.27) | 59.96% ( -1.27) |
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.43% ( 0.57) | 22.57% ( -0.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.83% ( 0.84) | 56.17% ( -0.84) |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
2-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.28) 2-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 2.48% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.64% Total : 35.06% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.36) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.9% | 1-2 @ 8.69% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.47% ( -0.39) 0-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 4.31% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.13) 1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.29% Total : 40.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 19 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 14 |
5 | Macarthur | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 12 |
6 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 12 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 11 |
8 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 10 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 10 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 10 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 2 |
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