Australian A-League | Gameweek 16

Feb 11, 2023 at 8.45am UK

Spotless Stadium

Western Sydney
0 - 1
Sydney FC

Rudan (65')
Ngbakoto (64')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Burgess (16')
Caballo (90+5'), Wood (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Western Sydney Wanderers and Sydney FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Western Sydney Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Western Sydney 1-0 Western Utd
Sunday, February 5 at 4am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sydney FC

All competitions

Last Game: Sydney FC 3-2 Central Coast
Saturday, February 4 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Western Sydney Wanderers 2-1 Sydney FC

Both of these teams are heading into the game with confidence, and with it being a derby encounter there will be plenty of tension heading into this one. However, Western Sydney Wanderers will be seen as the favourites due to their league position, but also due to their dominance at home throughout this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 42.66%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 32.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.

Result
Western Sydney Wanderers	Draw	Sydney FC
32.84% ( -0.08)	24.5% ( 0.06)	42.66% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 58.71% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.92% (

-0.3)

44.08% (

0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.54% (

-0.3)

66.47% (

0.3)

Western Sydney Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.09% (

-0.19)

25.91% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.1% (

-0.27)

60.9% (

0.27)

Sydney FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.23% (

-0.12)

20.77% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.59% (

-0.18)

53.41% (

0.19)

Score Analysis

Western Sydney Wanderers 32.84%

Sydney FC 42.66%

Draw 24.5%

Western Sydney Wanderers	Draw	Sydney FC
2-1 @ 7.71% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.47% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.44% Total : 32.84%	1-1 @ 11.42% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.5%	1-2 @ 8.98% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 6.65% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.7% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.37% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.76% Total : 42.66%