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Sydney FC
Australian A-League | Gameweek 19
Mar 4, 2023 at 8.45am UK
Netstrata Jubilee Stadium
Melbourne Victory

Sydney FC
1 - 0
Victory

Caceres (35')
Grant (40'), Donachie (45+2')
Burgess (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Brillante (62'), Da Silva (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Sydney FC and Melbourne Victory, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sydney FC

All competitions
Last Game: Melbourne City 3-2 Sydney FC
Saturday, February 25 at 6am in Australian A-League

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Last Game: Victory 1-1 Adelaide United
Sunday, February 26 at 4am in Australian A-League

We said: Sydney FC 2-1 Melbourne Victory

 Melbourne Victory have been pushing themselves as of late, putting on some great performances to showcase that they are not going to finish the season without putting up a fight. However, Sydney FC have been one of the stronger teams in the division as of late and with the home advantage they should just edge this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 44.25%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sydney FC in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sydney FC.

Result
Sydney FCDrawMelbourne Victory
44.25% (-0.155 -0.16) 24.78% (-0.020999999999997 -0.02) 30.98% (0.18 0.18)
Both teams to score 56.93% (0.169 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.96% (0.181 0.18)46.05% (-0.176 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.65% (0.172 0.17)68.35% (-0.16500000000001 -0.17)
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.13% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)20.87% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.42% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)53.58% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.95% (0.209 0.21)28.05% (-0.204 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.3% (0.264 0.26)63.7% (-0.26 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Sydney FC 44.25%
    Melbourne Victory 30.98%
    Draw 24.78%
Sydney FCDrawMelbourne Victory
1-0 @ 9.17% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.19% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.77% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.75% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.03% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.87% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.47% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 44.25%
1-1 @ 11.66% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.86% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.81% (0.025 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.78%
0-1 @ 7.44% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.41% (0.031 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.73% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.14% (0.031 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.46% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.01% (0.02 0.02)
1-4 @ 1% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 30.98%

How you voted: Sydney FC vs Victory

Sydney FC
73.3%
Draw
6.7%
Melbourne Victory
20.0%
15
Head to Head
Jan 26, 2023 7.45am
Victory
1-2
Sydney FC
Brimmer (26')
Miranda (48'), Folami (72')
Burgess (32'), Le Fondre (52')
Caballo (21'), Lolley (67')
Oct 8, 2022 9.45am
Sydney FC
2-3
Victory
Mak (15'), Donachie (79')
Brattan (21')
D'Agostino (31'), Ikonomidis (67'), Brillante (83')
May 7, 2022 10.45am
Sydney FC
1-4
Victory
Le Fondre (16')
Retre (28'), Yazbek (77')
D'Agostino (14'), Brimmer (30'), Geria (38'), Hamill (87')
Marchan (69')
Jan 25, 2022 8.45am
Victory
2-2
Sydney FC
Folami (17'), Kruse (77')
Kelava (82')
Ninkovic (37'), Bobo (81')
Bobo (90+4'), Amini (90+8')
May 19, 2021 10.05am
Sydney FC
2-0
Victory
Bobo (10'), Barbarouses (83')
Brattan (30')

Brimmer (45'), Folami (46'), Barnett (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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