Australian A-League | Gameweek 16
Feb 12, 2023 at 4am UK
McDonald Jones Stadium
Newcastle Jets2 - 1Victory
FT(HT: 1-0)
Velupillay (51')
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Perth Glory 2-2 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, February 4 at 11.30am in Australian A-League
Saturday, February 4 at 11.30am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
17
Last Game: Victory 3-1 Wellington
Friday, February 3 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Friday, February 3 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
15
We said: Newcastle Jets 1-1 Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets will be the firm favourites in the eyes of many, but they have struggled to get over the line to secure victories as of late. Considering the fact that the visitors head into the game with momentum behind them, they could push the hosts to a draw. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 42.64%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 32.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.92%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
32.49% ( -0.25) | 24.87% ( -0.37) | 42.64% ( 0.63) |
| Both teams to score 57.3% ( 1.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.14% ( 1.58) | 45.86% ( -1.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.83% ( 1.49) | 68.17% ( -1.48) |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.02% ( 0.61) | 26.98% ( -0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.68% ( 0.79) | 62.33% ( -0.78) |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.48% ( 0.98) | 21.53% ( -0.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.41% ( 1.48) | 54.59% ( -1.47) |
| Score Analysis |
Newcastle Jets 32.49%
Melbourne Victory 42.64%
Draw 24.86%
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 2-1 @ 7.66% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.38)2-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.07% Total : 32.49% | 1-1 @ 11.68% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.15)0-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.4)3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.86% | 1-2 @ 8.97% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.34)0-2 @ 6.85% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 4.6% ( 0.17)0-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.16)1-4 @ 1.76% ( 0.12)0-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.52% Total : 42.64% |
How you voted: Newcastle Jets vs Victory
Newcastle Jets
50.0%Draw
40.0%Melbourne Victory
10.0%10
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2022 8.45am
Apr 16, 2022 10.45am
Newcastle Jets
1-2
Victory
Siatravanis (65')
Elsey (41')
Elsey (41')
Feb 12, 2022 8.45am
Apr 10, 2021 6.05am
Form Guide
