Australian A-League | Gameweek 15

Feb 4, 2023 at 11.30am UK

nib Stadium

Perth Glory
2 - 2
Newcastle Jets

Bodnar (44'), Beevers (79')
Jelacic (15'), Bodnar (17'), Burke-Gilroy (56')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Piscopo (59'), Goodwin (88')
Thurgate (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Perth Glory and Newcastle Jets, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Perth Glory

All competitions

Last Game: Wellington 2-2 Perth Glory
Saturday, January 28 at 2am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Newcastle Jets

All competitions

Last Game: Newcastle Jets 4-0 Brisbane Roar
Friday, January 27 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

We said: Perth Glory 1-2 Newcastle Jets

These are two teams that are playing with a lot of confidence at the moment, which should lead to a thrilling back-and-forth fixture. However, the visitors have been showcasing great attacking qualities throughout this season which should give them a slight edge here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 40.6%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 34.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Perth Glory	Draw	Newcastle Jets
40.6% ( 0.22)	25.24% ( -0.02)	34.16% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 56.52% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.91% (

0.07)

47.1% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.67% (

0.06)

69.33% (

-0.06)

Perth Glory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.96% (

0.14)

23.04% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.14% (

0.2)

56.86% (

-0.2)

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.44% (

-0.09)

26.56% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.23% (

-0.12)

61.77% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Perth Glory 40.6%

Newcastle Jets 34.16%

Draw 25.23%

Perth Glory	Draw	Newcastle Jets
1-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.28% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.16% Total : 40.6%	1-1 @ 11.9% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.23%	0-1 @ 8.11% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.9% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.19% Total : 34.16%