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Perth Glory
Australian A-League | Gameweek 15
Feb 4, 2023 at 11.30am UK
nib Stadium
Newcastle Jets

Perth Glory
2 - 2
Newcastle Jets

Bodnar (44'), Beevers (79')
Jelacic (15'), Bodnar (17'), Burke-Gilroy (56')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Piscopo (59'), Goodwin (88')
Thurgate (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Perth Glory and Newcastle Jets, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wellington 2-2 Perth Glory
Saturday, January 28 at 2am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 4-0 Brisbane Roar
Friday, January 27 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

We said: Perth Glory 1-2 Newcastle Jets

These are two teams that are playing with a lot of confidence at the moment, which should lead to a thrilling back-and-forth fixture. However, the visitors have been showcasing great attacking qualities throughout this season which should give them a slight edge here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 40.6%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 34.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Perth GloryDrawNewcastle Jets
40.6% (0.223 0.22) 25.24% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 34.16% (-0.196 -0.2)
Both teams to score 56.52% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.91% (0.067 0.07)47.1% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.67% (0.062000000000001 0.06)69.33% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Perth Glory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.96% (0.14099999999999 0.14)23.04% (-0.138 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.14% (0.204 0.2)56.86% (-0.20200000000001 -0.2)
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.44% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)26.56% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.23% (-0.115 -0.12)61.77% (0.117 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Perth Glory 40.6%
    Newcastle Jets 34.16%
    Draw 25.23%
Perth GloryDrawNewcastle Jets
1-0 @ 8.98% (0.013 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.74% (0.026 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.59% (0.036 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.28% (0.03 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.23% (0.031 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.84% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.57% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.18% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 40.6%
1-1 @ 11.9% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.12% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.79% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.23%
0-1 @ 8.11% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.9% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.38% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.49% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.56% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.38% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.16% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 34.16%

How you voted: Perth Glory vs Newcastle Jets

Perth Glory
57.1%
Draw
7.1%
Newcastle Jets
35.7%
14
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 7am
Apr 10, 2022 7.05am
Newcastle Jets
6-1
Perth Glory
Penha (21', 50'), Mikeltadze (31', 37', 78' pen.), Yuel (81')
Jurman (41'), Thurgate (52')
Bramwell (69')
Gorman (13')
Mar 30, 2022 11.40am
Perth Glory
0-0
Newcastle Jets

Reddy (90+1'), Colli (90+2')

Jurman (34'), Penha (73'), Thurgate (82')
Penha (90+2')
Jun 5, 2021 10.10am
Newcastle Jets
1-1
Perth Glory
Aspropotamitis (70' og.)
Topor-Stanley (28'), Millar (53'), Boogaard (56')
Fornaroli (21')
Ingham (44'), Armiento (45+1'), Geria (49'), Rawlins (76')
Apr 13, 2021 10.05am
rhs 2.0
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