Australian A-League | Gameweek 18
Feb 25, 2023 at 6am UK
AAMI Park
Melbourne City3 - 2Sydney FC
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Victory 3-2 Melbourne City
Saturday, February 18 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Saturday, February 18 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
39
Last Game: Sydney FC 1-1 Brisbane Roar
Saturday, February 18 at 6am in Australian A-League
Saturday, February 18 at 6am in Australian A-League
We said: Melbourne City 1-1 Sydney FC
Melbourne City might seem like the favourites on paper for this match, but the recent shock defeat could provide an opening for the visitors to cause problems. Considering the fact that Sydney FC are currently enjoying a great run and have already beaten their opponents, seeing them battle out a draw could end up happening. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 56.49%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 21.87% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 1-2 (5.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne City | Draw | Sydney FC |
56.49% ( -0.18) | 21.65% ( -0.02) | 21.87% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 59.12% ( 0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.72% ( 0.36) | 39.28% ( -0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.39% ( 0.38) | 61.61% ( -0.37) |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.21% ( 0.06) | 13.78% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.9% ( 0.12) | 41.1% ( -0.12) |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.57% ( 0.39) | 31.43% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.19% ( 0.45) | 67.8% ( -0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
Melbourne City 56.49%
Sydney FC 21.87%
Draw 21.65%
| Melbourne City | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 6.5% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.41% Total : 56.49% | 1-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.65% | 1-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.01% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.66% Total : 21.87% |
How you voted: Melbourne City vs Sydney FC
Melbourne City
52.0%Draw
32.0%Sydney FC
16.0%25
Head to Head
Dec 10, 2022 8.45am
Feb 26, 2022 8.45am
Jun 27, 2021 8.05am
Apr 10, 2021 8.05am
Form Guide
