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Perth Glory
Australian A-League | Gameweek 16
Feb 11, 2023 at 11.30am UK
nib Stadium
Melbourne City

Perth Glory
2 - 4
Melbourne City

Clisby (25'), Williams (71')
Amini (56'), Koutroumbis (61'), Williams (81'), Zadkovich (90+3')
Lachman (60')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bos (16'), Berisha (62' pen.), Leckie (76'), Berenguer (90+2')
Reis (17'), Lam (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Perth Glory and Melbourne City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Perth Glory 2-2 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, February 4 at 11.30am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Melbourne City 6-1 Macarthur
Saturday, February 4 at 6am in Australian A-League

We said: Perth Glory 1-3 Melbourne City

Perth Glory are in strong form at the moment, and that is the perfect way for them to be heading into a fixture against the league leaders. However, coming off a dominant 6-1 win Melbourne City will be the favourites on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 67.3%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 13.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.64%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 1-0 (4.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Perth GloryDrawMelbourne City
13.59% (-0.153 -0.15) 19.12% (-0.026999999999997 -0.03) 67.3% (0.179 0.18)
Both teams to score 50.71% (-0.34 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.89% (-0.232 -0.23)42.11% (0.23 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.49% (-0.233 -0.23)64.51% (0.23099999999999 0.23)
Perth Glory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.34% (-0.374 -0.37)42.66% (0.373 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.99% (-0.321 -0.32)79.01% (0.31899999999999 0.32)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.44% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)11.56% (0.016 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.5% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)36.5% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Perth Glory 13.59%
    Melbourne City 67.29%
    Draw 19.12%
Perth GloryDrawMelbourne City
1-0 @ 4.2%
2-1 @ 3.86% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-0 @ 1.79% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.18% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 1.1% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 13.59%
1-1 @ 9.06% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.93% (0.051 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.17% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 19.12%
0-2 @ 11.48% (0.11 0.11)
0-1 @ 10.64% (0.11 0.11)
1-2 @ 9.78% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 8.26% (0.067 0.07)
1-3 @ 7.03% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-4 @ 4.45% (0.033 0.03)
1-4 @ 3.79% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-5 @ 1.92% (0.013 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.64% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.62% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 67.29%

How you voted: Perth Glory vs Melbourne City

Perth Glory
17.4%
Draw
8.7%
Melbourne City
73.9%
23
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 6am
Melbourne City
4-0
Perth Glory
MacLaren (49', 75' pen.), Tilio (82'), Leckie (90+5')

Forde (12')
May 4, 2022 12.05pm
Perth Glory
2-0
Melbourne City
Timmins (5', 67')
Edwards (45')

Griffiths (55'), Jamieson (71'), Good (72'), Tilio (78'), Jenkinson (84')
Good (90+4')
Mar 2, 2022 8.05am
Dec 8, 2021 8.45am
Melbourne City
1-0
Perth Glory
Atkinson (88')
Jamieson (52'), Tilio (71')

Aspropotamitis (8'), Lachman (38'), Burke-Gilroy (51'), Fornaroli (52')
May 5, 2021 12.20pm
Perth Glory
1-3
Melbourne City
Ikonomidis (31')
Keogh (35'), Kilkenny (44'), Aspropotamitis (90+1'), Warland (90+4')
Bodnar (36' og.), MacLaren (45+1', 68')
Jamieson (61')
rhs 2.0
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