Australian A-League | Gameweek 17
Feb 18, 2023 at 8.45am UK
AAMI Park
Victory3 - 2Melbourne City
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 2-1 Victory
Sunday, February 12 at 4am in Australian A-League
Sunday, February 12 at 4am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
16
Last Game: Perth Glory 2-4 Melbourne City
Saturday, February 11 at 11.30am in Australian A-League
Saturday, February 11 at 11.30am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
37
We said: Melbourne Victory 0-3 Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory are going through a tough season at the moment, and coming up against the current league leaders could see that continue. While it is a derby fixture, therefore the hosts will provide a stern test, this is one that Melbourne City should win comfortably. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 54.5%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 22.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.82%) and 0-2 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Melbourne Victory win it was 1-0 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Melbourne City |
22.24% ( 0.25) | 23.26% ( 0.18) | 54.5% ( -0.43) |
| Both teams to score 54.17% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
