Australian A-League | Gameweek 16

Feb 26, 2022 at 8.45am UK

Sydney Football Stadium

Sydney FC
1 - 2
Melbourne City

Ninkovic (53')
Grant (41'), O'Toole (66'), Barbarouses (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Retre (32' og.), Leckie (90+1')
Berenguer (72'), MacLaren (74')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Sydney FC and Melbourne City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 45.06%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 30% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 1-0 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Sydney FC	Draw	Melbourne City
30%	24.95%	45.06%

Both teams to score 55.86%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.78%

47.22%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.55%

69.45%

Sydney FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.71%

29.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.74%

65.26%

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79%

21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.23%

53.77%

Score Analysis

Sydney FC 30%

Melbourne City 45.06%

Draw 24.94%

Sydney FC	Draw	Melbourne City
1-0 @ 7.55% 2-1 @ 7.24% 2-0 @ 4.64% 3-1 @ 2.96% 3-2 @ 2.31% 3-0 @ 1.9% 4-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.49% Total : 30%	1-1 @ 11.78% 0-0 @ 6.15% 2-2 @ 5.65% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.94%	0-1 @ 9.6% 1-2 @ 9.2% 0-2 @ 7.49% 1-3 @ 4.79% 0-3 @ 3.9% 2-3 @ 2.94% 1-4 @ 1.87% 0-4 @ 1.52% 2-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.61% Total : 45.06%