Australian A-League | Gameweek 19
Mar 3, 2024 at 4am UK
Wellington Regional Stadium
Wellington3 - 2Adelaide United
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Adelaide United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Perth Glory 0-0 Wellington
Saturday, February 24 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Saturday, February 24 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
30
Last Game: Adelaide United 1-2 Western Sydney
Saturday, February 24 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Saturday, February 24 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
32
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 37.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.84%) and 2-0 (5.04%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wellington Phoenix would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Adelaide United |
40.01% ( 0.35) | 22.68% ( 0.43) | 37.3% ( -0.77) |
| Both teams to score 66.57% ( -1.77) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
