Australian A-League | Gameweek 27

Jan 13, 2024 at 9am UK

Allianz Stadium

Adelaide United
4 - 3
Sydney FC

Ibusuki (24', 34', 73'), Irankunda (45+5')
Cavallo (90+7')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Caceres (7'), Lolley (76', 90+5')
Brattan (42')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Live Updates

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Adelaide United and Sydney FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Adelaide United

All competitions

Last Game: Adelaide United 1-1 Macarthur
Monday, January 8 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sydney FC

All competitions

Last Game: Brisbane Roar 1-2 Sydney FC
Saturday, January 6 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 43.03%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.29%) and 1-0 (5.27%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.

Result
Adelaide United	Draw	Sydney FC
43.03% ( 0.28)	21.91% ( 0.02)	35.06% ( -0.31)

Both teams to score 69.2% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.32% (

-0.22)

30.67% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48% (

-0.26)

52% (

0.26)

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.84% (

0.01)

15.15% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.25% (

0.03)

43.74% (

-0.03)

Sydney FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.55% (

-0.24)

18.44% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.38% (

-0.41)

49.62% (

0.4)

Score Analysis

Adelaide United 43.03%

Sydney FC 35.06%

Draw 21.91%

Adelaide United	Draw	Sydney FC
2-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.29% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.11% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.26% Total : 43.03%	1-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 7.11% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.57% Total : 21.91%	1-2 @ 7.54% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.25% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 4.01% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.03) 3-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.8% Total : 35.06%