Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 44.33%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.32%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne Victory would win this match.
Result | ||
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Sydney FC |
44.33% (![]() | 23.37% (![]() | 32.3% (![]() |
Both teams to score 62.57% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.08% (![]() | 38.91% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.76% (![]() | 61.23% (![]() |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.06% (![]() | 17.94% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.24% (![]() | 48.76% (![]() |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.25% (![]() | 23.75% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.11% (![]() | 57.89% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Sydney FC |
2-1 @ 9.04% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.32% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.29% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.18% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.72% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.6% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.22% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.6% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.55% ( ![]() Other @ 3.81% Total : 44.33% | 1-1 @ 10.52% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.5% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.26% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.78% ( ![]() Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.37% | 1-2 @ 7.56% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.12% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.4% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.63% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.12% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.11% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.3% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.12% ( ![]() Other @ 2.94% Total : 32.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |