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Adelaide United
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Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Sydney FC
Australian A-League | Gameweek 1
Oct 21, 2023 at 9.45am UK
Netstrata Jubilee Stadium
Melbourne Victory

Sydney FC
0 - 2
Victory


Brattan (35'), Grant (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Fornaroli (62'), Machach (86')
Machach (48'), Marchan (76'), Ikonomidis (90+3')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Sydney FC and Melbourne Victory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sydney FC

All competitions
Last Game: Melbourne City 4-0 Sydney FC
Friday, May 19 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Last Game: Victory 0-1 Brisbane Roar
Saturday, April 29 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 48.85%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.83%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
Sydney FCDrawMelbourne Victory
48.85% (0.010999999999996 0.01) 22.96% (-0.087 -0.09) 28.19% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 61.53% (0.383 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.78% (0.479 0.48)39.21% (-0.479 -0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.45% (0.498 0.5)61.55% (-0.499 -0.5)
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.68% (0.182 0.18)16.32% (-0.183 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.1% (0.33 0.33)45.9% (-0.332 -0.33)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.52% (0.29600000000001 0.3)26.47% (-0.296 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.34% (0.393 0.39)61.65% (-0.395 -0.39)
Score Analysis
    Sydney FC 48.85%
    Melbourne Victory 28.19%
    Draw 22.95%
Sydney FCDrawMelbourne Victory
2-1 @ 9.44% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.83% (-0.128 -0.13)
2-0 @ 7.1% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-1 @ 5.7% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.29% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.79% (0.049 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.58% (0.028 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.94% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.72% (0.033 0.03)
5-1 @ 0.94% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 48.85%
1-1 @ 10.4% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 6.27% (0.044 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.32% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.68% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.95%
1-2 @ 6.92% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-1 @ 5.74% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.82% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.06% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.78% (0.043 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.69% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.02% (0.018 0.02)
2-4 @ 0.92% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 28.19%

Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 8.45am
Gameweek 19
Sydney FC
1-0
Victory
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> Preview
Jan 26, 2023 7.45am
Gameweek 14
Victory
1-2
Sydney FC
Brimmer (26')
Burgess (32'), Le Fondre (52')
> Preview
Oct 8, 2022 9.45am
Gameweek 1
Sydney FC
2-3
Victory
Mak (15'), Donachie (79')
D'Agostino (31'), Ikonomidis (67'), Brillante (83')
May 7, 2022 10.45am
Gameweek 19
Sydney FC
1-4
Victory
Le Fondre (16')
Retre (28'), Yazbek (77')
D'Agostino (14'), Brimmer (30'), Geria (38'), Hamill (87')
Marchan (69')
Jan 25, 2022 8.45am
Gameweek 8
Victory
2-2
Sydney FC
Folami (17'), Kruse (77')
Kelava (82')
Ninkovic (37'), Bobo (81')
Bobo (90+4'), Amini (90+8')
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