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Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League | Gameweek 23
Apr 9, 2023 at 6am UK
AAMI Park
Perth Glory

Victory
0 - 0
Perth Glory


Fornaroli (45+3'), Romero (55'), Miranda (90+8')
FT

Beevers (4'), Clisby (81'), Forde (90+1'), Lachman (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Perth Glory, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Last Game: Melbourne City 2-1 Victory
Wednesday, April 5 at 10am in Australian A-League

Perth Glory

All competitions
Last Game: Perth Glory 2-1 Macarthur
Saturday, April 1 at 12pm in Australian A-League

We said: Melbourne Victory 1-2 Perth Glory

 Given their contrasting home and away records, Victory will be confident of earning an important three points. However, we are backing the visitors to continue their recent improved form, moving them towards the top five in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 46.92%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 28.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 0-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne VictoryDrawPerth Glory
46.92% (0.187 0.19) 24.95% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07) 28.13% (-0.119 -0.12)
Both teams to score 54.64% (0.133 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.74% (0.212 0.21)48.26% (-0.213 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.59% (0.193 0.19)70.41% (-0.19499999999999 -0.19)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.39% (0.16800000000001 0.17)20.61% (-0.17 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.84% (0.265 0.27)53.16% (-0.265 -0.27)
Perth Glory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.83% (0.019999999999996 0.02)31.17% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.5% (0.025000000000006 0.03)67.5% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne Victory 46.92%
    Perth Glory 28.13%
    Draw 24.94%
Melbourne VictoryDrawPerth Glory
1-0 @ 10.14% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.019 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.01% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.92% (0.036 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.22% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.87% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.94% (0.024 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.67% (0.02 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 46.92%
1-1 @ 11.82% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.42% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.44% (0.014 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.94%
0-1 @ 7.49% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.89% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.37% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.68% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.12% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.7% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 28.13%

Head to Head
Jan 21, 2023 11.30am
Perth Glory
3-1
Victory
Williams (37'), Taggart (80', 87')
Lachman (34'), Jelacic (45+1'), Cook (87')
Clisby (51')
Brillante (69')
Smith (45+3'), Smith (48')
Ikonomidis (53')
Apr 6, 2022 12.05pm
Perth Glory
0-1
Victory

Timmins (28'), Colli (70')
Margiotta (57')
Davidson (46'), Marchan (90')
Dec 5, 2021 7.45am
Victory
0-3
Perth Glory

Marchan (45+3')
Burke-Gilroy (66'), Bramwell (74'), Fornaroli (88')
Ota (15'), Fornaroli (45+6'), Niyongabire (78')
May 9, 2021 9.10am
Perth Glory
2-1
Victory
Fornaroli (52'), Ikonomidis (56')
Timmins (24'), Ota (34')
Gestede (79')
Kruse (75')
Ansell (48')
Jan 26, 2021 8.05am
Victory
2-1
Perth Glory
Brimmer (86', 90' pen.)
Shotton (45')
Fornaroli (63')
Armiento (32')
rhs 2.0
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