Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 28.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 0-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Perth Glory |
46.18% ( -0.31) | 24.85% ( 0.02) | 28.98% ( 0.3) |
Both teams to score 55.56% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.67% ( 0.08) | 47.33% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.45% ( 0.07) | 69.55% ( -0.07) |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.45% ( -0.1) | 20.55% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.93% ( -0.16) | 53.07% ( 0.17) |
Perth Glory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.93% ( 0.26) | 30.07% ( -0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.8% ( 0.3) | 66.2% ( -0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Perth Glory |
1-0 @ 9.78% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.74% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.9% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 2.73% Total : 46.18% | 1-1 @ 11.74% 0-0 @ 6.18% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.84% | 0-1 @ 7.43% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.06% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.18% Total : 28.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 12 |
2 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 |
3 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 |
4 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
5 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 9 |
6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
7 | Macarthur | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
8 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
9 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 5 |
10 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 4 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 16 | -14 | 1 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 0 |
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