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Newcastle Jets
Australian A-League | Gameweek 21
Mar 18, 2023 at 6am UK
McDonald Jones Stadium
Perth Glory

Newcastle Jets
2 - 2
Perth Glory

Buhagiar (36'), Grozos (79')
O'Neill (4'), Mikeltadze (30'), Jenkinson (49'), Buhagiar (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ostler (52'), Williams (90+7')
Beevers (14')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Perth Glory, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newcastle Jets 2-4 Adelaide United
Saturday, March 11 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Perth Glory 1-0 Western Sydney
Friday, March 10 at 11am in Australian A-League

We said: Newcastle Jets 1-1 Perth Glory

While Perth Glory were able to secure three points last weekend, neither of the teams have a lot of momentum behind them right now so battling it out to a draw would not be a surprise here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 28.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 0-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Newcastle JetsDrawPerth Glory
46.18% (-0.315 -0.31) 24.85% (0.02 0.02) 28.98% (0.298 0.3)
Both teams to score 55.56% (0.131 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.67% (0.079000000000001 0.08)47.33% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.45% (0.074000000000002 0.07)69.55% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.45% (-0.102 -0.1)20.55% (0.105 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.93% (-0.165 -0.16)53.07% (0.168 0.17)
Perth Glory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.93% (0.25500000000001 0.26)30.07% (-0.252 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.8% (0.303 0.3)66.2% (-0.3 -0.3)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle Jets 46.18%
    Perth Glory 28.98%
    Draw 24.84%
Newcastle JetsDrawPerth Glory
1-0 @ 9.78% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.74% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.9% (-0.029000000000001 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.08% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.94% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.61% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 46.18%
1-1 @ 11.74%
0-0 @ 6.18% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.59% (0.024 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.84%
0-1 @ 7.43% (0.028 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.06% (0.053 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.46% (0.048 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.83% (0.041 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.24% (0.025 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.79% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 28.98%

How you voted: Newcastle Jets vs Perth Glory

Newcastle Jets
28.6%
Draw
14.3%
Perth Glory
57.1%
7
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2023 11.30am
Perth Glory
2-2
Newcastle Jets
Bodnar (44'), Beevers (79')
Jelacic (15'), Bodnar (17'), Burke-Gilroy (56')
Piscopo (59'), Goodwin (88')
Thurgate (90+2')
Oct 15, 2022 7am
Apr 10, 2022 7.05am
Newcastle Jets
6-1
Perth Glory
Penha (21', 50'), Mikeltadze (31', 37', 78' pen.), Yuel (81')
Jurman (41'), Thurgate (52')
Bramwell (69')
Gorman (13')
Mar 30, 2022 11.40am
Perth Glory
0-0
Newcastle Jets

Reddy (90+1'), Colli (90+2')

Jurman (34'), Penha (73'), Thurgate (82')
Penha (90+2')
Jun 5, 2021 10.10am
Newcastle Jets
1-1
Perth Glory
Aspropotamitis (70' og.)
Topor-Stanley (28'), Millar (53'), Boogaard (56')
Fornaroli (21')
Ingham (44'), Armiento (45+1'), Geria (49'), Rawlins (76')
rhs 2.0
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