Australian A-League | Gameweek 21

Mar 18, 2023 at 6am UK

McDonald Jones Stadium

Newcastle Jets
2 - 2
Perth Glory

Buhagiar (36'), Grozos (79')
O'Neill (4'), Mikeltadze (30'), Jenkinson (49'), Buhagiar (89')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ostler (52'), Williams (90+7')
Beevers (14')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Perth Glory, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle Jets

All competitions

Last Game: Newcastle Jets 2-4 Adelaide United
Saturday, March 11 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Perth Glory

All competitions

Last Game: Perth Glory 1-0 Western Sydney
Friday, March 10 at 11am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

We said: Newcastle Jets 1-1 Perth Glory

While Perth Glory were able to secure three points last weekend, neither of the teams have a lot of momentum behind them right now so battling it out to a draw would not be a surprise here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 28.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 0-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Newcastle Jets	Draw	Perth Glory
46.18% ( -0.31)	24.85% ( 0.02)	28.98% ( 0.3)

Both teams to score 55.56% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.67% (

0.08)

47.33% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.45% (

0.07)

69.55% (

-0.07)

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.45% (

-0.1)

20.55% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.93% (

-0.16)

53.07% (

0.17)

Perth Glory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.93% (

0.26)

30.07% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.8% (

0.3)

66.2% (

-0.3)

Score Analysis

Newcastle Jets 46.18%

Perth Glory 28.98%

Draw 24.84%

Newcastle Jets	Draw	Perth Glory
1-0 @ 9.78% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.74% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.9% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 2.73% Total : 46.18%	1-1 @ 11.74% 0-0 @ 6.18% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.84%	0-1 @ 7.43% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.06% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.18% Total : 28.98%