Australian A-League

May 6, 2023 at 10.45am UK

Commbank Stadium

Western Sydney
1 - 2
Sydney FC

Schneiderlin (39' pen.)
Borrello (66'), Ninkovic (68')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Mak (69'), le Fondre (80')
Mak (39'), Grant (65'), Brattan (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Western Sydney Wanderers and Sydney FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Western Sydney Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Melbourne City 3-2 Western Sydney
Friday, April 28 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sydney FC

All competitions

Last Game: Sydney FC 2-0 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, April 29 at 8am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Western Sydney Wanderers 2-1 Sydney FC

In knockout football, anything can happen but it is Western Sydney Wanderers who have had the strongest campaign and they are likely to have just enough to push into the next round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 39.46%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 36.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.93%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Western Sydney Wanderers	Draw	Sydney FC
39.46% ( 1.03)	24.52% ( 0.01)	36.02% ( -1.05)

Both teams to score 59.43% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.54% (

-0.16)

43.46% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.14% (

-0.16)

65.85% (

0.16)

Western Sydney Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.99% (

0.45)

22.01% (

-0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.67% (

0.67)

55.33% (

-0.67)

Sydney FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.21% (

-0.64)

23.79% (

0.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.05% (

-0.92)

57.95% (

0.92)

Score Analysis

Western Sydney Wanderers 39.46%

Sydney FC 36.02%

Draw 24.52%

Western Sydney Wanderers	Draw	Sydney FC
2-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 6% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 4.35% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.46% Total : 39.46%	1-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.52%	1-2 @ 8.17% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 7.52% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 3.91% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.08% Total : 36.02%