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Macarthur
Australian A-League | Gameweek 23
Apr 8, 2023 at 10.45am UK
Campbelltown Stadium (Sydney)
Western Sydney Wanderers

Macarthur
2 - 2
Western Sydney

Rose (66'), Toure (90+1')
Aspropotamitis (69'), Baccus (83'), Noone (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Borrello (42', 90+5')
Nieuwenhof (27'), Schneiderlin (37'), Simmons (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Western Sydney Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Perth Glory 2-1 Macarthur
Saturday, April 1 at 12pm in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Sydney 2-3 Adelaide United
Friday, March 31 at 9.45am in Australian A-League

We said: Macarthur 0-2 Western Sydney Wanderers

Keen to bounce back from a narrow defeat to the league's form team, and having had the much stronger season of the two teams thus far while dishing out two thrashings to their rivals, we anticipate Western Sydney Wanderers again coming out on top against Macarthur this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 52.43%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 25.36% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.84%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
MacarthurDrawWestern Sydney Wanderers
25.36% (-0.601 -0.6) 22.2% (-0.212 -0.21) 52.43% (0.813 0.81)
Both teams to score 61.58% (0.139 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62% (0.45500000000001 0.46)38% (-0.453 -0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.73% (0.484 0.48)60.26% (-0.483 -0.48)
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.14% (-0.203 -0.2)27.86% (0.204 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.53% (-0.26 -0.26)63.46% (0.261 0.26)
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.36% (0.432 0.43)14.64% (-0.431 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.23% (0.823 0.82)42.77% (-0.822 -0.82)
Score Analysis
    Macarthur 25.36%
    Western Sydney Wanderers 52.43%
    Draw 22.2%
MacarthurDrawWestern Sydney Wanderers
2-1 @ 6.4% (-0.116 -0.12)
1-0 @ 5.21% (-0.145 -0.15)
2-0 @ 3.33% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-1 @ 2.73% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.42% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 25.36%
1-1 @ 10.01% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-2 @ 6.15% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.08% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.68% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.2%
1-2 @ 9.62% (0.029 0.03)
0-1 @ 7.84% (-0.050999999999999 -0.05)
0-2 @ 7.53% (0.066 0.07)
1-3 @ 6.16% (0.112 0.11)
0-3 @ 4.82% (0.114 0.11)
2-3 @ 3.94% (0.049 0.05)
1-4 @ 2.96% (0.097 0.1)
0-4 @ 2.32% (0.09 0.09)
2-4 @ 1.89% (0.052 0.05)
1-5 @ 1.14% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 4.22%
Total : 52.43%

How you voted: Macarthur vs Western Sydney

Macarthur
9.1%
Draw
9.1%
Western Sydney Wanderers
81.8%
11
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 8.45am
Western Sydney
4-0
Macarthur
Borrello (3'), Amalfitano (37'), Schneiderlin (56' pen.), Nieuwenhof (61')
Beadling (40')

Susnjar (82'), Arzani (90+2')
Noone (6')
Jan 1, 2023 6am
May 8, 2022 7.05am
Macarthur
1-1
Western Sydney
Juric (55' pen.)
Uskok (25'), M'Mombwa (29'), Susnjar (85'), Rose (90+4')
Carluccio (10')
Gordon (14'), Koutroumbis (15'), Antonis (25'), Natta (53')
Mar 12, 2022 8.45am
Macarthur
3-1
Western Sydney
Noone (8'), Davila (73', 90+8' pen.)
Giannou (64'), Mutch (64'), Kurto (76')
Antonis (80')
Baccus (10'), Petratos (30'), Margush (90+7')
Dec 11, 2021 8.45am
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