Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 52.43%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 25.36% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.84%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Macarthur | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
25.36% ( -0.6) | 22.2% ( -0.21) | 52.43% ( 0.81) |
Both teams to score 61.58% ( 0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62% ( 0.46) | 38% ( -0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.73% ( 0.48) | 60.26% ( -0.48) |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.14% ( -0.2) | 27.86% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.53% ( -0.26) | 63.46% ( 0.26) |
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.36% ( 0.43) | 14.64% ( -0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.23% ( 0.82) | 42.77% ( -0.82) |
Score Analysis |
Macarthur | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
2-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 5.21% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 2.73% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.65% Total : 25.36% | 1-1 @ 10.01% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.2% | 1-2 @ 9.62% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 7.53% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 6.16% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 4.82% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 3.94% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 2.96% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 2.32% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 1.89% ( 0.05) 1-5 @ 1.14% ( 0.05) Other @ 4.22% Total : 52.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 19 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 14 |
5 | Macarthur | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 12 |
6 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 12 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 11 |
8 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 10 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 10 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 10 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 2 |
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