Australian A-League | Gameweek 19

Mar 5, 2023 at 4am UK

Campbelltown Stadium (Sydney)

Macarthur
3 - 2
Brisbane Roar

Arabuli (14'), Millar (67'), McGing (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

O'Shea (78'), Lofthouse (80')
Courtney-Perkins (12'), Aldred (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Brisbane Roar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Macarthur

All competitions

Last Game: Western Sydney 4-0 Macarthur
Saturday, February 25 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Brisbane Roar

All competitions

Last Game: Brisbane Roar 2-1 Perth Glory
Sunday, February 26 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

We said: Macarthur 0-0 Brisbane Roar

Two of the lowest-scoring teams in the division face each other this weekend, so the match may be low on quality and goalmouth action. The visitors will be hoping to back up their win last time out with another here, but a draw is the most likely outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 42.21%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 32.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.78%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Macarthur	Draw	Brisbane Roar
32.96% ( 0.36)	24.83% ( 0.13)	42.21% ( -0.48)

Both teams to score 57.61% (

-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.46% (

-0.46)

45.54% (

0.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.14% (

-0.44)

67.86% (

0.44)

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.46% (

26.54% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.26% (

-0)

61.74% (

Brisbane Roar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.41% (

-0.42)

21.59% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.32% (

-0.64)

54.68% (

0.65)

Score Analysis

Macarthur 32.96%

Brisbane Roar 42.22%

Draw 24.83%

Macarthur	Draw	Brisbane Roar
2-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 3.42% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.19% Total : 32.96%	1-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.83%	1-2 @ 8.93% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 4.56% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.51% Total : 42.22%