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Macarthur
Australian A-League | Gameweek 19
Mar 5, 2023 at 4am UK
Campbelltown Stadium (Sydney)
Brisbane Roar

Macarthur
3 - 2
Brisbane Roar

Arabuli (14'), Millar (67'), McGing (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
O'Shea (78'), Lofthouse (80')
Courtney-Perkins (12'), Aldred (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Brisbane Roar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Western Sydney 4-0 Macarthur
Saturday, February 25 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 2-1 Perth Glory
Sunday, February 26 at 6am in Australian A-League

We said: Macarthur 0-0 Brisbane Roar

Two of the lowest-scoring teams in the division face each other this weekend, so the match may be low on quality and goalmouth action. The visitors will be hoping to back up their win last time out with another here, but a draw is the most likely outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 42.21%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 32.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.78%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
MacarthurDrawBrisbane Roar
32.96% (0.36000000000001 0.36) 24.83% (0.128 0.13) 42.21% (-0.485 -0.48)
Both teams to score 57.61% (-0.307 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.46% (-0.458 -0.46)45.54% (0.46299999999999 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.14% (-0.439 -0.44)67.86% (0.443 0.44)
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.46% (0.00099999999999056 0)26.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.26% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)61.74% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.41% (-0.41799999999999 -0.42)21.59% (0.421 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.32% (-0.645 -0.64)54.68% (0.649 0.65)
Score Analysis
    Macarthur 32.96%
    Brisbane Roar 42.22%
    Draw 24.83%
MacarthurDrawBrisbane Roar
2-1 @ 7.73% (0.053 0.05)
1-0 @ 7.6% (0.149 0.15)
2-0 @ 5.04% (0.098000000000001 0.1)
3-1 @ 3.42% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.23% (0.043 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.13% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 32.96%
1-1 @ 11.65% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.92% (-0.034999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.73% (0.113 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.83%
1-2 @ 8.93% (-0.052000000000001 -0.05)
0-1 @ 8.78% (0.061 0.06)
0-2 @ 6.73% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.56% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-3 @ 3.44% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-3 @ 3.03% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.75% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.32% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.16% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 42.22%

How you voted: Macarthur vs Brisbane Roar

Macarthur
21.4%
Draw
21.4%
Brisbane Roar
57.1%
14
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2022 10.45am
Feb 13, 2022 7.45am
Brisbane Roar
3-1
Macarthur
Mileusnic (2'), Brown (60'), Hore (78')
Akbari (13')
Mariappa (74')
Jovanovic (40'), Meredith (86'), Susnjar (88')
Apr 9, 2021 10.05am
Feb 9, 2021 8.35am
rhs 2.0
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