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Brisbane Roar
Australian A-League | Gameweek 16
Feb 10, 2023 at 8.45am UK
Suncorp Stadium
Central Coast Mariners

Brisbane Roar
1 - 2
Central Coast

O'Shea (23' pen.)
Neville (80'), Akbari (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Tulio (19'), N'Kololo (69' pen.)
Balard (50'), Cummings (82'), N'Kololo (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Australian A-League clash between Brisbane Roar and Central Coast Mariners, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brisbane Roar

All competitions
Last Game: Adelaide United 2-1 Brisbane Roar
Saturday, February 4 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions
Last Game: Sydney FC 3-2 Central Coast
Saturday, February 4 at 6am in Australian A-League

We said: Brisbane Roar 0-2 Central Coast Mariners

 Brisbane Roar have been involved in a difficult period and that is something that is going to be tough to overcome this weekend against one of the strongest teams in the league. The lack of goals that the hosts have scored this season will be a problem for them, and that should lead to Central Coast Mariners getting the victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 36.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.06%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Central Coast Mariners in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Central Coast Mariners.

Result
Brisbane RoarDrawCentral Coast Mariners
36.13% (0.092999999999996 0.09) 24.78% (0.0010000000000012 0) 39.09% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)
Both teams to score 58.49% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)44.68% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.95% (0.0020000000000024 0)67.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.71% (0.052999999999997 0.05)24.29% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.33% (0.073999999999998 0.07)58.67% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Central Coast Mariners Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.26% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)22.74% (0.047999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.59% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)56.41% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Brisbane Roar 36.13%
    Central Coast Mariners 39.09%
    Draw 24.77%
Brisbane RoarDrawCentral Coast Mariners
2-1 @ 8.19% (0.013 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.82% (0.011 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.53% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.86% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.86% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.61% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.37% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 0.92% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 36.13%
1-1 @ 11.57%
2-2 @ 6.07% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 5.52% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.41% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.77%
1-2 @ 8.57% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.18% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.06% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.23% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.99% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.57% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.11% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 39.09%

How you voted: Brisbane Roar vs Central Coast

Brisbane Roar
17.5%
Draw
19.0%
Central Coast Mariners
63.5%
63
Head to Head
May 3, 2022 10.05am
Brisbane Roar
0-2
Central Coast

Neville (86')
Miller (40'), Kuol (63')
Farrell (41'), Goddard (44'), Steele (88')
Mar 5, 2022 6.05am
Central Coast
2-1
Brisbane Roar
N'Kololo (49'), Muller (55')
Cummings (34'), N'Kololo (76'), Birighitti (86')
Lescano (69')
Brown (80'), Mlinaric (86')
May 12, 2021 10.05am
Brisbane Roar
0-0
Central Coast

Trewin (29'), Neville (86'), O'Shea (87')

Simon (85'), Rowles (89')
Apr 28, 2021 10.05am
Central Coast
0-4
Brisbane Roar

Stensness (29'), Tongyik (67')
Urena (62')
Gillesphey (19'), Champness (56'), Parsons (89'), Kudo (90+3')
Akbari (44'), Brindell-South (64')
Mar 13, 2020 8.30am
Brisbane Roar
1-0
Central Coast
McDonald (45')
O'Neill (84'), Aldred (86')
rhs 2.0
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