Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 50.17%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 27.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.59%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-3 win for Adelaide United in this match.
Result | ||
Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Adelaide United |
50.17% ( -1.07) | 22.53% ( 0.07) | 27.3% ( 1.01) |
Both teams to score 62.32% ( 0.7) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.15% ( 0.51) | 37.85% ( -0.51) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.9% ( 0.55) | 60.1% ( -0.54) |
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.66% ( -0.18) | 15.35% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.89% ( -0.34) | 44.11% ( 0.35) |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.62% ( 0.98) | 26.38% ( -0.98) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.46% ( 1.29) | 61.54% ( -1.29) |
Score Analysis |
Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Adelaide United |
2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.24) 2-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.27) 3-1 @ 5.92% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.2) 3-2 @ 3.94% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.95% Total : 50.17% | 1-1 @ 10.11% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 4.05% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.53% | 1-2 @ 6.74% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 5.4% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 1% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.25% Total : 27.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 19 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 14 |
5 | Macarthur | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 12 |
6 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 12 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 11 |
8 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 10 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 10 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 10 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 2 |
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