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Macarthur
Australian A-League | Gameweek 21
Mar 19, 2023 at 8am UK
Campbelltown Stadium (Sydney)
Melbourne City

Macarthur
1 - 1
Melbourne City

Romero (26')
Toure (50'), Rose (80'), Baccus (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Aspropotamitis (66' og.)
Reis (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Melbourne City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Central Coast 4-1 Macarthur
Saturday, March 11 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Melbourne City 2-1 Brisbane Roar
Sunday, March 12 at 4am in Australian A-League

We said: Macarthur 0-4 Melbourne City

Melbourne City might have been dealing with their toughest patch of form this season lately, but their attacking qualities should be more than enough to take three points from Macarthur this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 64.37%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Macarthur had a probability of 16.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.21%) and 0-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for a Macarthur win it was 2-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
MacarthurDrawMelbourne City
16.56% (1.267 1.27) 19.07% (1.222 1.22) 64.37% (-2.491 -2.49)
Both teams to score 58.61% (-1.615 -1.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.52% (-3.428 -3.43)35.47% (3.427 3.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.48% (-3.896 -3.9)57.51% (3.896 3.9)
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.43% (-0.67399999999999 -0.67)34.57% (0.672 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.71% (-0.723 -0.72)71.29% (0.72300000000001 0.72)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.58% (-1.531 -1.53)10.42% (1.53 1.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.01% (-3.58 -3.58)33.98% (3.58 3.58)
Score Analysis
    Macarthur 16.56%
    Melbourne City 64.37%
    Draw 19.07%
MacarthurDrawMelbourne City
2-1 @ 4.6% (0.327 0.33)
1-0 @ 3.83% (0.566 0.57)
2-0 @ 2.03% (0.269 0.27)
3-2 @ 1.84% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.63% (0.088 0.09)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 16.56%
1-1 @ 8.65% (0.763 0.76)
2-2 @ 5.2% (0.031 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.6% (0.589 0.59)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.116 -0.12)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 19.07%
1-2 @ 9.78% (0.236 0.24)
0-2 @ 9.21% (0.386 0.39)
0-1 @ 8.15% (0.854 0.85)
1-3 @ 7.38% (-0.328 -0.33)
0-3 @ 6.94% (-0.177 -0.18)
1-4 @ 4.17% (-0.491 -0.49)
0-4 @ 3.93% (-0.382 -0.38)
2-3 @ 3.92% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-4 @ 2.21% (-0.307 -0.31)
1-5 @ 1.89% (-0.37 -0.37)
0-5 @ 1.78% (-0.311 -0.31)
2-5 @ 1% (-0.218 -0.22)
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 64.37%

How you voted: Macarthur vs Melbourne City

Macarthur
12.5%
Draw
12.5%
Melbourne City
75.0%
8
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2023 6am
Melbourne City
6-1
Macarthur
MacLaren (3', 88'), Van der Venne (33', 43', 77'), Nabbout (68')
Lam (45+1')
Najjar (72')
Arzani (11'), M'Mombwa (56')
Mar 26, 2022 8.45am
Macarthur
0-1
Melbourne City

Giannou (41'), Davila (84')
MacLaren (64')
Bos (31'), Stokes (38'), Good (45+1'), O'Neill (89'), Gomulka (90+1')
Mar 9, 2022 8.05am
Melbourne City
3-1
Macarthur
Mariappa (28' og.), Berenguer (44'), MacLaren (54' pen.)
Jenkinson (23')
Giannou (15')
Mariappa (36'), Susnjar (81')
Jun 20, 2021 7.05am
Apr 24, 2021 10.10am
rhs 2.0
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