Australian A-League | Gameweek 22

Apr 1, 2023 at 9.45am UK

Netstrata Jubilee Stadium

Sydney FC
3 - 3
Western Utd

Mak (22', 89'), Caballo (59')
Caballo (62')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Wales (14'), Pain (25'), Brattan (56' og.)
Doumbia (47'), Lacroix (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Sydney FC and Western United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sydney FC

All competitions

Last Game: Sydney FC 0-4 Western Sydney
Saturday, March 18 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Western United

All competitions

Last Game: Brisbane Roar 1-0 Western Utd
Saturday, March 18 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

We said: Sydney FC 0-1 Western United

Sydney have been in very poor form of late, failing to score in their last two games, while they have also struggled at home all season, with no side collecting fewer points on their own patch. Considering Western United have been impressive on their travels recently, winning two of their last three matches, we think they could cause an upset and come away with a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 47.93%. A win for Western United had a probability of 28.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result
Sydney FC	Draw	Western United
47.93% ( -0.28)	23.92% ( 0.12)	28.15% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 58.09% (

-0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.26% (

-0.45)

43.74% (

0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.87% (

-0.44)

66.13% (

0.45)

Sydney FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.61% (

-0.28)

18.39% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.47% (

-0.49)

49.53% (

0.49)

Western United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.18% (

-0.12)

28.82% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.32% (

-0.15)

64.68% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Sydney FC 47.93%

Western United 28.15%

Draw 23.92%

Sydney FC	Draw	Western United
2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.34% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.26% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.48% Total : 47.93%	1-1 @ 11.16% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.92%	1-2 @ 6.95% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.59% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.88% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.49% Total : 28.15%