Australian A-League | Gameweek 25

Apr 21, 2023 at 10.45am UK

Spotless Stadium

Western Sydney
4 - 0
Wellington

Borrello (9'), Nieuwenhof (31'), Simmons (65'), Yengi (87')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Payne (69'), Elliot (77'), Rufer (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Australian A-League clash between Western Sydney Wanderers and Wellington Phoenix, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Western Sydney Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Western Sydney 2-1 Victory
Saturday, April 15 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions

Last Game: Wellington 2-2 Brisbane Roar
Sunday, April 16 at 4am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

We said: Western Sydney Wanderers 2-1 Wellington Phoenix

There is little between these teams in the league right now and that will likely be reflected in the match itself, but Western Sydney Wanderers should be able to edge things out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 52.84%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 25.16% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Western Sydney Wanderers	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
52.84% ( -0.18)	22% ( 0.03)	25.16% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 62.08% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.76% (

0.01)

37.24% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.55% (

0.01)

59.45% (

-0.01)

Western Sydney Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.76% (

-0.05)

14.24% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58% (

-0.11)

42% (

0.11)

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.39% (

0.12)

27.61% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.86% (

0.15)

63.14% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

Western Sydney Wanderers 52.84%

Wellington Phoenix 25.16%

Draw 22%

Western Sydney Wanderers	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.85% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 4.02% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.04% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.96% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.51% Total : 52.84%	1-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.93% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.3% Total : 22%	1-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.06% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.72% Total : 25.16%