Australian A-League | Gameweek 24
Apr 16, 2023 at 4am UK
Westpac Stadium
Wellington2 - 2Brisbane Roar
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Melbourne City 4-1 Wellington
Monday, April 10 at 7am in Australian A-League
Monday, April 10 at 7am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
36
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 3-0 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, April 8 at 8am in Australian A-League
Saturday, April 8 at 8am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
23
We said: Wellington Phoenix 1-2 Brisbane Roar
Wellington Phoenix have certainly been the stronger of the two sides throughout the campaign, but they will be low on confidence after three straight defeats, while the visitors have a degree of momentum following their recent improvement, and we back them to pull off a somewhat surprise result on their travels this weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 39.92%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
39.92% ( 0.03) | 24.68% ( -0.08) | 35.4% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 58.75% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
