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Brisbane Roar
Australian A-League | Gameweek 23
Apr 8, 2023 at 8am UK
Suncorp Stadium
Newcastle Jets

Brisbane Roar
3 - 0
Newcastle Jets

Hore (34'), O'Shea (70' pen.), Scepovic (90+2')
Neville (58'), Trewin (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Brisbane Roar and Newcastle Jets, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brisbane Roar

All competitions
Last Game: Central Coast 4-1 Brisbane Roar
Saturday, April 1 at 7am in Australian A-League

Newcastle Jets

All competitions
Last Game: Melbourne City 1-1 Newcastle Jets
Sunday, April 2 at 6am in Australian A-League

We said: Brisbane Roar 0-1 Newcastle Jets

 Brisbane Roar have struggled throughout the season thus far, particularly going forward, and even against an out-of-sorts Newcastle Jets side, we do not see them having enough to muster a result this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 41.71%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brisbane Roar would win this match.

Result
Brisbane RoarDrawNewcastle Jets
41.71% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08) 25.34% (0.039000000000001 0.04) 32.95% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 55.84% (-0.113 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.18% (-0.152 -0.15)47.82% (0.151 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.99% (-0.14 -0.14)70.01% (0.14 0.14)
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.19% (-0.104 -0.1)22.81% (0.104 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.47% (-0.154 -0.15)56.53% (0.154 0.15)
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.35% (-0.048999999999992 -0.05)27.65% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.8% (-0.064 -0.06)63.2% (0.064 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Brisbane Roar 41.71%
    Newcastle Jets 32.95%
    Draw 25.34%
Brisbane RoarDrawNewcastle Jets
1-0 @ 9.32% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.86% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.89% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.36% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.39% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.8% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.25% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 41.71%
1-1 @ 11.98% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.31% (0.04 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.34%
0-1 @ 8.11% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.7% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 5.21% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.3% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.23% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.06% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 32.95%

How you voted: Brisbane Roar vs Newcastle Jets

Brisbane Roar
37.5%
Draw
25.0%
Newcastle Jets
37.5%
8
Head to Head
Jan 27, 2023 8.45am
Newcastle Jets
4-0
Brisbane Roar
Sotirio (52'), Buhagiar (72'), Mikeltadze (76'), Goodwin (90+4')

Aldred (55'), Hore (59')
Dec 16, 2022 8.45am
Newcastle Jets
0-1
Brisbane Roar

Buhagiar (24')
Mileusnic (80')
Apr 3, 2022 7.05am
Brisbane Roar
2-0
Newcastle Jets
Hore (83'), Ivanovic (90+3')
O'Shea (8'), Hore (21'), Akbari (59'), Daley (66'), Aldred (89')

Murnane (25'), Siatravanis (41'), Mauragis (67'), Jurman (72')
Mauragis (80')
Feb 3, 2022 8.45am
Newcastle Jets
2-1
Brisbane Roar
Freke (22' og.), Thurgate (70')
Hoffman (33'), Elsey (79'), Duncan (85')
Lescano (64')
Daley (45'), Brown (68'), Hingert (72'), Trewin (90+3')
May 21, 2021 10.05am
Newcastle Jets
1-2
Brisbane Roar
O'Shea (61' og.)
Hoffman (42'), Boogaard (54')
Danzaki (34'), O'Shea (73')
Gillesphey (21'), Neville (82')
rhs 2.0
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