Australian A-League | Gameweek 22

Apr 2, 2023 at 6am UK

AAMI Park

Melbourne City
1 - 1
Newcastle Jets

Caputo (90+2')
Jamieson (21')
Jamieson (41')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mikeltadze (31' pen.)
Thurgate (78'), Timmins (88')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Newcastle Jets, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

All competitions

Last Game: Macarthur 1-1 Melbourne City
Sunday, March 19 at 8am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Newcastle Jets

All competitions

Last Game: Newcastle Jets 2-2 Perth Glory
Saturday, March 18 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

We said: Melbourne City 2-0 Newcastle Jets

Although results in the last month have not been near the levels they are capable of and have displayed throughout the season thus far, we can still only envisage the quality in this Melbourne City team getting them over the line against the struggling visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 71.28%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 12.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 3-0 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.53%), while for a Newcastle Jets win it was 1-2 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne City	Draw	Newcastle Jets
71.28% ( 0.09)	16.53% ( -0.06)	12.19% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 56.09% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.89% (

0.19)

33.11% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.14% (

0.22)

54.85% (

-0.22)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.8% (

0.06)

8.2% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.29% (

0.16)

28.71% (

-0.17)

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.1% (

0.08)

38.9% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.37% (

0.07)

75.63% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Melbourne City 71.28%

Newcastle Jets 12.19%

Draw 16.53%

Melbourne City	Draw	Newcastle Jets
2-0 @ 9.98% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.32% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 2.46% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.28% Total : 71.28%	1-1 @ 7.53% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.45% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 16.53%	1-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 1.68% Total : 12.19%