Australian A-League | Gameweek 24

Apr 15, 2023 at 10.45am UK

Spotless Stadium

Western Sydney
2 - 1
Victory

Borrello (45+1'), Layouni (81')
Simmons (51'), Ninkovic (53'), Nieuwenhof (85')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Velupillay (56')
Popovic (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Western Sydney Wanderers and Melbourne Victory, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Western Sydney Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Macarthur 2-2 Western Sydney
Saturday, April 8 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Melbourne Victory

All competitions

Last Game: Victory 0-0 Perth Glory
Sunday, April 9 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

We said: Western Sydney Wanderers 2-1 Melbourne Victory

Melbourne Victory have lost their last three away meetings with Western Sydney Wanderers and after losing seven of their last eight away games in the A-League, we think that they will leave CommBank Stadium empty-handed. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 41.33%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Western Sydney Wanderers in this match.

Result
Western Sydney Wanderers	Draw	Melbourne Victory
41.33% ( -0.01)	24.21% ( 0.1)	34.46% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 60.26% (

-0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.74% (

-0.51)

42.26% (

0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.34% (

-0.52)

64.66% (

0.52)

Western Sydney Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.39% (

-0.22)

20.61% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.84% (

-0.35)

53.15% (

0.35)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.9% (

-0.29)

24.1% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.61% (

-0.42)

58.39% (

0.42)

Score Analysis

Western Sydney Wanderers 41.33%

Melbourne Victory 34.46%

Draw 24.21%

Western Sydney Wanderers	Draw	Melbourne Victory
2-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.64% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.85% Total : 41.33%	1-1 @ 11.16% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.21%	1-2 @ 7.94% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.07% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.9% Total : 34.46%