Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 52.63%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 26.24% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.49%) and 3-1 (6.42%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
52.63% ( 0.54) | 21.13% ( -0.34) | 26.24% ( -0.2) |
Both teams to score 66.5% ( 1.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.04% ( 1.51) | 31.95% ( -1.51) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.49% ( 1.74) | 53.51% ( -1.75) |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.51% ( 0.68) | 12.49% ( -0.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.53% ( 1.39) | 38.47% ( -1.4) |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.99% ( 0.67) | 24.01% ( -0.67) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.74% ( 0.94) | 58.26% ( -0.95) |
Score Analysis |
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 6.42% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.35) 3-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.14) 4-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.14) 4-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.09) 4-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.09) 5-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.08) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.6% Total : 52.63% | 1-1 @ 8.9% ( -0.32) 2-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 3% ( -0.25) 3-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.46% Total : 21.14% | 1-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 4.28% ( -0.27) 2-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.75% Total : 26.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 19 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 14 |
5 | Macarthur | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 12 |
6 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 12 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 11 |
8 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 10 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 10 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 10 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 2 |
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