Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 38.17% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.82%) and 0-2 (4.94%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 2-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.