Australian A-League | 2nd Leg

May 20, 2023 at 10.45am UK

Central Coast Stadium

Central Coast
2 - 0
Adelaide United

(Central Coast Mariners win 4-1 on aggregate)

Silvera (48'), Tulio (52')
Triantis (65'), N'Kololo (62'), N'Kololo (66')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Popovic (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Central Coast Mariners and Adelaide United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions

Last Game: Adelaide United 1-2 Central Coast
Saturday, May 13 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Adelaide United

All competitions

Last Game: Adelaide United 1-2 Central Coast
Saturday, May 13 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

We said: Central Coast Mariners 2-1 Adelaide United

With everything on the line, it is likely that there will be little to split the two teams in this match, but the poor away form of Adelaide United could be cause for concern. The fact that Central Coast Mariners have now beaten their opponents three times this season should provide plenty of confidence as well, and that is why they will likely secure another win here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 50.09%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 28.17% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.39%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.

Result
Central Coast Mariners	Draw	Adelaide United
50.09% ( 1.17)	21.73% ( 0.11)	28.17% ( -1.27)

Both teams to score 66.04% (

-1.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.72% (

-1.43)

33.28% (

1.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.95% (

-1.66)

55.04% (

1.66)

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.27% (

-0.14)

13.73% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.01% (

-0.28)

40.99% (

0.29)

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.55% (

-1.5)

23.45% (

1.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.54% (

-2.22)

57.45% (

2.23)

Score Analysis

Central Coast Mariners 50.09%

Adelaide United 28.17%

Draw 21.73%

Central Coast Mariners	Draw	Adelaide United
2-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.2) 1-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.44) 2-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.41) 3-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.25) 4-1 @ 3.03% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.11) 5-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.87% Total : 50.09%	1-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.24) 3-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.43% Total : 21.73%	1-2 @ 6.72% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 4.67% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.21) 2-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.23) 0-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.13) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.93% Total : 28.17%