We said: Central Coast Mariners 2-1 Adelaide United
With everything on the line, it is likely that there will be little to split the two teams in this match, but the poor away form of Adelaide United could be cause for concern.
The fact that Central Coast Mariners have now beaten their opponents three times this season should provide plenty of confidence as well, and that is why they will likely secure another win here.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 50.09%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 28.17% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.39%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.