We said: Adelaide United 1-1 Central Coast Mariners
With this being the first leg of the semi-final, it is likely to be quite a nervous and cautious encounter with neither team wanting to give too much away heading into the second game.
Considering that, it would not be a surprise to see the two teams play out a draw in this match, leaving it all to play for in the reverse fixture.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 40.67%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 36.88% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.63%) and 2-0 (4.98%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.