Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 47.07%. A win for Western United had a probability of 30.57% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.53%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Adelaide United | Draw | Western United |
47.07% ( -1.4) | 22.36% ( -0.13) | 30.57% ( 1.52) |
Both teams to score 65.44% ( 1.51) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.22% ( 1.56) | 34.78% ( -1.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.26% ( 1.73) | 56.74% ( -1.73) |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.71% ( 0.09) | 15.29% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.99% ( 0.17) | 44.01% ( -0.17) |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.26% ( 1.7) | 22.74% ( -1.7) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.58% ( 2.46) | 56.42% ( -2.46) |
Score Analysis |
Adelaide United | Draw | Western United |
2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.2) 1-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.51) 2-0 @ 6.13% ( -0.46) 3-1 @ 5.68% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 3.84% ( -0.27) 4-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.12) 5-1 @ 1% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.17% Total : 47.07% | 1-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.28) 3-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.36% | 1-2 @ 7.16% ( 0.18) 0-1 @ 5.15% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 3.81% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 3.54% ( 0.26) 2-3 @ 3.32% ( 0.25) 0-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.13) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.15) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.15) Other @ 3.17% Total : 30.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 12 |
2 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 |
3 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 |
4 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
5 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 9 |
6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
7 | Macarthur | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
8 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
9 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 5 |
10 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 4 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 16 | -14 | 1 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 0 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |