Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 42.62%. A win for Western United had a probability of 34.35% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.58%) and 0-2 (5.71%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.