Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 39.35%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 38.67% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (4.99%) and 3-1 (4.82%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.
Result | ||
Adelaide United | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
39.35% ( 0.39) | 21.98% ( 0.05) | 38.67% ( -0.44) |
Both teams to score 69.48% ( -0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.49% ( -0.25) | 30.51% ( 0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.19% ( -0.3) | 51.8% ( 0.3) |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.49% ( 0.05) | 16.5% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.77% ( 0.09) | 46.23% ( -0.09) |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.21% ( -0.29) | 16.78% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.26% ( -0.52) | 46.73% ( 0.52) |
Score Analysis |
Adelaide United | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
2-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.82% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 4.3% 3-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.94% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.55% Total : 39.35% | 1-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 7.16% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.59% Total : 21.98% | 1-2 @ 7.95% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 4.94% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.73% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 4.26% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.11% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.9% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.03) 3-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.43% Total : 38.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 9 |
2 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 |
3 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 4 |
6 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
7 | Macarthur | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
8 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
9 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
10 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 2 |
11 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 1 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 1 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 |
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