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Melbourne City
Australian A-League
Jun 3, 2023 at 10.45am UK
AAMI Park
Central Coast Mariners

Melbourne City
1 - 6
Central Coast

van der Venne (40')
Reis (45'), Tilio (79')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Cummings (20', 65' pen., 73' pen.), Silvera (34'), N'Kololo (83'), Moresche (90+1')
Triantis (51'), Tulio (89'), Moresche (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Central Coast Mariners, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Melbourne City 4-0 Sydney FC
Friday, May 19 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Central Coast 2-0 Adelaide United
Saturday, May 20 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

We said: Melbourne City 2-1 Central Coast Mariners

There has not been much to split these teams throughout the entire season, but when looking at the overall picture it is Melbourne City who will be the favourites, and they are expected to claim the trophy at the end of what should be a close game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 55.49%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 23.61% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.23%) and 1-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne CityDrawCentral Coast Mariners
55.49% (0.060000000000002 0.06) 20.9% (-0.126 -0.13) 23.61% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Both teams to score 64.3% (0.548 0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.46% (0.67999999999999 0.68)33.54% (-0.682 -0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.66% (0.772 0.77)55.34% (-0.774 -0.77)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.81% (0.239 0.24)12.19% (-0.242 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.16% (0.505 0.51)37.84% (-0.507 -0.51)
Central Coast Mariners Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.23% (0.42400000000001 0.42)26.77% (-0.426 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.95% (0.558 0.56)62.04% (-0.558 -0.56)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne City 55.49%
    Central Coast Mariners 23.61%
    Draw 20.9%
Melbourne CityDrawCentral Coast Mariners
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.23% (-0.121 -0.12)
1-0 @ 6.87% (-0.182 -0.18)
3-1 @ 6.68% (0.031 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.07% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 4.4% (0.073 0.07)
4-1 @ 3.52% (0.049 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.67% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 2.32% (0.06 0.06)
5-1 @ 1.48% (0.035 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.12% (0.013 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.02% (0.038 0.04)
5-2 @ 0.98% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 55.49%
1-1 @ 9.05% (-0.128 -0.13)
2-2 @ 6.28% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 3.26% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.93% (0.055 0.05)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 20.9%
1-2 @ 5.96% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.3% (-0.102 -0.1)
0-2 @ 2.83% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.76% (0.053 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.62% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.25% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 23.61%

How you voted: Melbourne City vs Central Coast

Melbourne City
73.7%
Draw
15.8%
Central Coast Mariners
10.5%
19
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 8am
Dec 27, 2022 6.30am
Feb 22, 2022 8.55am
gameweek 8
Melbourne City
3-2
Central Coast
MacLaren (45+7' pen.), Berenguer (57'), Tilio (74')
Leckie (13'), Glover (35'), O'Neill (48'), Galloway (72')
N'Kololo (45'), Bozanic (65')
N'Kololo (7'), Montgomery (90+2')
Jan 23, 2022 5.05am
gameweek 22
Central Coast
1-3
Melbourne City
Urena (41')
Farrell (59')
MacLaren (18'), Nabbout (57'), Jenkinson (84')
Bos (16'), Stokes (45+2'), Metcalfe (55'), Berenguer (84')
May 22, 2021 10.10am
gameweek 8
Melbourne City
1-0
Central Coast
Noone (59')
Noone (32'), Tilio (63'), O'Neill (66')

Simon (10'), Stajcic (63')
rhs 2.0
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