MX23RW : Friday, November 8 01:27:43| >> :300:86500:86500:
Adelaide United
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Western United
Western United
Australian A-League | Gameweek 25
Apr 22, 2023 at 10.45am UK
Whitten Oval
Melbourne City

Western Utd
1 - 3
Melbourne City

Pierias (38')
Pierias (20'), Wales (39'), Topor-Stanley (44'), Pain (68')
FT(HT: 1-1)
MacLaren (13', 66', 74')
Reis (37'), Galloway (39'), Talbot (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Western United and Melbourne City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Adelaide United 0-1 Western Utd
Sunday, April 16 at 8am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Central Coast 1-1 Melbourne City
Saturday, April 15 at 8am in Australian A-League

We said: Western United 1-3 Melbourne City

Western United have the home advantage and a lot to fight for in this game, but the attacking qualities of the visitors will likely prove to be too much in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 64.07%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Western United had a probability of 17.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.91%) and 1-3 (7.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.86%), while for a Western United win it was 2-1 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Melbourne City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Melbourne City.

Result
Western UnitedDrawMelbourne City
17.52% (0.096 0.1) 18.41% (0.089000000000002 0.09) 64.07% (-0.194 -0.19)
Both teams to score 63.41% (-0.137 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.67% (-0.264 -0.26)30.32% (0.254 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.42% (-0.315 -0.31)51.57% (0.306 0.31)
Western United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.71% (-0.065000000000012 -0.07)30.28% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.54% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)66.45% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.95% (-0.12 -0.12)9.05% (0.111 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.21% (-0.27799999999999 -0.28)30.78% (0.269 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Western United 17.52%
    Melbourne City 64.07%
    Draw 18.41%
Western UnitedDrawMelbourne City
2-1 @ 4.7% (0.028 0.03)
1-0 @ 3.27% (0.041 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-0 @ 1.96% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.87% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 17.52%
1-1 @ 7.86% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.64% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 2.74% (0.039 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.8% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 18.41%
1-2 @ 9.45% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.91% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 7.57% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.58% (0.06 0.06)
0-3 @ 6.33% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-4 @ 4.55% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-3 @ 4.52% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-4 @ 3.81% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-4 @ 2.72% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-5 @ 2.18% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-5 @ 1.83% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-5 @ 1.31% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-4 @ 1.08% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 4.25%
Total : 64.07%

How you voted: Western Utd vs Melbourne City

Western United
10.0%
Draw
20.0%
Melbourne City
70.0%
10
Head to Head
Jan 7, 2023 8.45am
gameweek 11
Melbourne City
4-0
Western Utd
Tilio (9'), Lacroix (12' og.), MacLaren (25'), Nabbout (84')
Oct 7, 2022 9.45am
gameweek 1
Melbourne City
2-1
Western Utd
Lacroix (38' og.), MacLaren (59')
Nabbout (30')
Milanovic (90+2')
May 28, 2022 10.45am
Mar 12, 2022 6.05am
gameweek 19
Western Utd
2-2
Melbourne City
Lacroix (16'), Krhin (30')
Imai (35'), Prijovic (42'), Lacroix (76')
Metcalfe (42'), MacLaren (65')
Jan 29, 2022 8.45am
gameweek 12
Western Utd
1-0
Melbourne City
Lustica (71')
Wales (32'), Topor-Stanley (33')

O'Neill (45+1'), Reis (65')
rhs 2.0
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