Western Utd1 - 3Melbourne City
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, April 16 at 8am in Australian A-League
for
Saturday, April 15 at 8am in Australian A-League
for
We said: Western United 1-3 Melbourne City
Western United have the home advantage and a lot to fight for in this game, but the attacking qualities of the visitors will likely prove to be too much in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 64.07%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Western United had a probability of 17.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.91%) and 1-3 (7.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.86%), while for a Western United win it was 2-1 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Melbourne City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Melbourne City.
| Result | ||
| Western United | Draw | Melbourne City |
17.52% ( 0.1) | 18.41% ( 0.09) | 64.07% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 63.41% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.67% ( -0.26) | 30.32% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.42% ( -0.31) | 51.57% ( 0.31) |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.71% ( -0.07) | 30.28% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.54% ( -0.08) | 66.45% ( 0.06) |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.95% ( -0.12) | 9.05% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 69.21% ( -0.28) | 30.78% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Western United | Draw | Melbourne City |
| 2-1 @ 4.7% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 3.27% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0)2-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 1.87% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.47% Total : 17.52% | 1-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.36% Total : 18.41% | 1-2 @ 9.45% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 7.57% ( -0.02)0-1 @ 6.58% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 6.33% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 4.55% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 4.52% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 3.81% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 2.72% ( -0.03)1-5 @ 2.18% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 1.83% ( -0.02)2-5 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)3-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.25% Total : 64.07% |
