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Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League | Gameweek 3
Nov 4, 2023 at 8.45am UK
Marvel Stadium
Adelaide United

Victory
1 - 1
Adelaide United

Fornaroli (28')
Miranda (58'), Marchan (90+1'), Chapman (90+7')
Miranda (63')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ibusuki (59')
Madanha (22'), Irankunda (79'), Veart (81')
Irankunda (90+6')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Adelaide United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Last Game: Victory 5-3 Newcastle Jets
Sunday, October 29 at 6am in Australian A-League

Adelaide United

All competitions
Last Game: Adelaide United 6-0 Melbourne City
Sunday, October 29 at 8am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 44.27%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.39%) and 2-0 (5.77%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne VictoryDrawAdelaide United
44.27% (1.816 1.82) 22.67% (-0.791 -0.79) 33.07% (-1.024 -1.02)
Both teams to score 65.55% (2.622 2.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.85% (3.581 3.58)35.15% (-3.579 -3.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.85% (3.88 3.88)57.15% (-3.878 -3.88)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.53% (2.173 2.17)16.47% (-2.17 -2.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.83% (3.78 3.78)46.17% (-3.78 -3.78)
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.48% (1.128 1.13)21.52% (-1.126 -1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.41% (1.703 1.7)54.58% (-1.701 -1.7)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne Victory 44.27%
    Adelaide United 33.07%
    Draw 22.67%
Melbourne VictoryDrawAdelaide United
2-1 @ 8.86% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.39% (-0.699 -0.7)
2-0 @ 5.77% (-0.191 -0.19)
3-1 @ 5.33% (0.372 0.37)
3-2 @ 4.09% (0.412 0.41)
3-0 @ 3.47% (0.131 0.13)
4-1 @ 2.4% (0.321 0.32)
4-2 @ 1.85% (0.3 0.3)
4-0 @ 1.56% (0.163 0.16)
4-3 @ 0.95% (0.18 0.18)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 44.27%
1-1 @ 9.82% (-0.711 -0.71)
2-2 @ 6.8% (0.233 0.23)
0-0 @ 3.54% (-0.677 -0.68)
3-3 @ 2.09% (0.273 0.27)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 22.67%
1-2 @ 7.54% (-0.278 -0.28)
0-1 @ 5.44% (-0.826 -0.83)
0-2 @ 4.18% (-0.474 -0.47)
1-3 @ 3.86% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.48% (0.231 0.23)
0-3 @ 2.14% (-0.163 -0.16)
1-4 @ 1.48% (0.046 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.34% (0.13 0.13)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 33.07%

How you voted: Victory vs Adelaide United

Melbourne Victory
80.0%
Draw
0.0%
Adelaide United
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2023 4am
Gameweek 18
Victory
1-1
Adelaide United
> Preview
Jan 14, 2023 8.45am
Gameweek 12
Adelaide United
1-1
Victory
Goodwin (7')
D'Agostino (49')
> Preview
Nov 11, 2022 8.45am
Gameweek 6
Adelaide United
3-0
Victory
Ibusuki (37'), Goodwin (86' pen.), Warland (90+1')
Apr 2, 2022 9.45am
Gameweek 21
Adelaide United
0-1
Victory

Ibusuki (45+3'), Juande (61'), Lopez (66')
Rojas (7')
Spiranovic (27'), Margiotta (49'), Kelava (90+6')
Jan 8, 2022 8.45am
Gameweek 9
Victory
1-1
Adelaide United
D'Agostino (84')
Brooks (90+4')
Goodwin (90+1')
Timotheou (49'), Sanchez (79'), Juande (90')
Sanchez (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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