Australian A-League | Gameweek 10
Dec 30, 2023 at 8.45am UK
AAMI Park
Victory2 - 0Adelaide United
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Adelaide United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Melbourne City 0-0 Victory
Saturday, December 23 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Saturday, December 23 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
19
Last Game: Adelaide United 3-1 Newcastle Jets
Friday, December 22 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Friday, December 22 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 49.96%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.13%) and 2-0 (5.99%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne Victory would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Adelaide United |
49.96% ( -0.07) | 21.4% ( 0.13) | 28.63% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 67.7% ( -0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
