Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 49.96%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.13%) and 2-0 (5.99%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne Victory would win this match.
Result | ||
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Adelaide United |
49.96% (![]() | 21.4% (![]() | 28.63% (![]() |
Both teams to score 67.7% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.73% (![]() | 31.27% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.29% (![]() | 52.71% (![]() |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.95% (![]() | 13.05% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.37% (![]() | 39.63% (![]() |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.87% (![]() | 22.13% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.49% (![]() | 55.51% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Adelaide United |
2-1 @ 9.03% (![]() 3-1 @ 6.13% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.99% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 5.88% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.62% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.07% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.12% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.35% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.07% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.27% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.18% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 3.29% Total : 49.96% | 1-1 @ 8.87% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.81% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.89% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.32% ( ![]() Other @ 0.51% Total : 21.4% | 1-2 @ 6.69% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.36% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.42% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.36% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.29% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.65% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.29% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.27% ( ![]() Other @ 3.31% Total : 28.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |