

Adelaide United3 - 1Newcastle Jets
Form, Standings, Stats
Friday, December 15 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Saturday, December 16 at 7am in Australian A-League
for
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 48.89%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 29.69% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.02%) and 2-0 (5.74%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.
Result | ||
Adelaide United | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
48.89% (![]() | 21.42% (![]() | 29.69% (![]() |
Both teams to score 68.44% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.36% (![]() | 30.63% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.04% (![]() | 51.95% (![]() |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.84% (![]() | 13.16% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.16% (![]() | 39.84% (![]() |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.8% (![]() | 21.19% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.93% (![]() | 54.07% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Adelaide United | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
2-1 @ 8.9% (![]() 3-1 @ 6.02% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.74% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 5.66% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.67% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.88% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.05% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.37% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.97% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.24% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.22% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 3.24% Total : 48.89% | 1-1 @ 8.77% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.9% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.79% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.41% ( ![]() Other @ 0.54% Total : 21.42% | 1-2 @ 6.81% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.33% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.57% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.52% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.36% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.74% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.39% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.37% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 2.69% Total : 29.69% |