Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 58.57%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 22.38% and a draw had a probability of 19.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.11%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (5.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
Result | ||
Melbourne City | Draw | Adelaide United |
58.57% (![]() | 19.06% (![]() | 22.38% (![]() |
Both teams to score 69.78% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
74.12% (![]() | 25.88% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
53.94% (![]() | 46.07% (![]() |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.99% (![]() | 9.01% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.31% (![]() | 30.7% (![]() |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.69% (![]() | 23.31% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.74% (![]() | 57.26% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne City | Draw | Adelaide United |
2-1 @ 8.86% (![]() 3-1 @ 7.11% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.08% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 5.18% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 5.06% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.88% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.28% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 3.11% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.94% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.06% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.51% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.5% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.41% ( ![]() Other @ 4.59% Total : 58.57% | 1-1 @ 7.36% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.45% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.51% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.1% ( ![]() Other @ 0.64% Total : 19.06% | 1-2 @ 5.36% (![]() 2-3 @ 3.13% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 3.06% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.6% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.23% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.14% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.08% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 0.95% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 1.92% Total : 22.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |