Australian A-League | Gameweek 14
Jan 25, 2024 at 8.45am UK
AAMI Park
Melbourne City1 - 0Adelaide United
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Adelaide United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Central Coast 2-1 Melbourne City
Sunday, January 21 at 7am in Australian A-League
Sunday, January 21 at 7am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
24
Last Game: Adelaide United 4-3 Sydney FC
Saturday, January 13 at 9am in Australian A-League
Saturday, January 13 at 9am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
27
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 58.57%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 22.38% and a draw had a probability of 19.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.11%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (5.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne City | Draw | Adelaide United |
58.57% ( 0.27) | 19.06% ( -0.02) | 22.38% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 69.78% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
