Australian A-League | Gameweek 8

Dec 17, 2023 at 6am UK

Melbourne Rectangular Stadium

Melbourne City
3 - 3
Central Coast

Jakolis (2'), Arslan (63'), Lopane (90+2')
Souprayen (14'), Vidmar (67'), Behich (89')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Torres (49', 60', 82')
Tulio (41'), Roux (66'), Kuol (89')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Central Coast Mariners.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

All competitions

Australian A-League

Last Game: Melbourne City 1-1 Zhejiang
Tuesday, December 12 at 9.30am in AFC Champions League

Goals
for

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions

Last Game: Central Coast 4-0 Western Utd
Friday, December 8 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 50.03%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 28.91% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.17%) and 2-0 (5.66%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne City	Draw	Central Coast Mariners
50.03% ( 2.63)	21.05% ( -0.18)	28.91% ( -2.45)

Both teams to score 69.28% (

-0.99)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.68% (

-0.63)

29.32% (

0.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.63% (

-0.77)

50.37% (

0.77)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.66% (

0.57)

12.34% (

-0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.84% (

1.18)

38.16% (

-1.18)

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.03% (

-1.65)

20.97% (

1.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.27% (

-2.65)

53.73% (

2.65)

Score Analysis

Melbourne City 50.03%

Central Coast Mariners 28.91%

Draw 21.05%

Melbourne City	Draw	Central Coast Mariners
2-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 6.17% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.44) 1-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.31) 3-2 @ 4.82% 3-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.38) 4-1 @ 3.23% ( 0.23) 4-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.24) 5-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.12) 4-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.04) 5-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.63% Total : 50.03%	1-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.91% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.59% Total : 21.05%	1-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.29) 0-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.27) 1-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.34) 0-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.21) 0-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.2) 2-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.19) 1-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.21) 3-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.7% Total : 28.91%