Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 50.03%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 28.91% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.17%) and 2-0 (5.66%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Melbourne City | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
50.03% (![]() | 21.05% (![]() | 28.91% (![]() |
Both teams to score 69.28% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.68% (![]() | 29.32% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.63% (![]() | 50.37% (![]() |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.66% (![]() | 12.34% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.84% (![]() | 38.16% (![]() |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.03% (![]() | 20.97% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.27% (![]() | 53.73% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne City | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
2-1 @ 8.85% (![]() 3-1 @ 6.17% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.66% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 5.41% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.82% 3-0 @ 3.95% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.23% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.52% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.07% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.35% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.31% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 3.63% Total : 50.03% | 1-1 @ 8.46% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.91% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.59% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.51% ( ![]() Other @ 0.59% Total : 21.05% | 1-2 @ 6.61% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.04% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.6% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.44% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.16% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.64% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.41% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.34% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 2.7% Total : 28.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 36 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 31 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 28 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 27 |
5 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 26 |
6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 25 |
7 | Macarthur | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 25 |
8 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 25 |
9 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 17 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 21 |
10 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 18 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 41 | -29 | 10 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 6 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |