Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 64.26%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 17.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.9%) and 1-3 (7.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.82%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 2-1 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Melbourne City in this match.