Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 47.96%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 27.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brisbane Roar would win this match.